BTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTU - Peabody Energy Corporation
$24.80
-0.86 (-3.35%)
▼
5d:
-5.92%
30d:
+4.47%
90d:
-33.78%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.21
48.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTU is currently trading at $24.80, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.13 to $28.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.33 (+38.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.33 (+38.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$24.13 -
$28.38
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BTU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.4% below Wall St target ($34.33)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.13 -
$28.38
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.78
Resistance Level
$31.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.53
Wall Street Target
$34.33
(+38.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-62.6%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 10.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.32
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$20.09
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$18.08
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→11)
$29.07
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 363.1%)
$279.14
(+1026%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 363.1%)
$83.70
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 363.1%)
$71.14
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.5 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$39.87
(+60.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 20, 2026 3:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darren Ronald Yeates
SELL
13892 shares
2026-02-10
Scott T Jarboe
SELL
2151 shares
2026-01-14
Advanced BTU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BTU price and gamma walls.
