BTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTU - Peabody Energy Corporation
$21.79
0.47 (2.20%)
▲
5d:
-5.63%
30d:
-2.29%
90d:
-17.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.88
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.59
31.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTU is currently trading at $21.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.07 to $23.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.06, while resistance sits at $24.53.
Market Sentiment: BTU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+42.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.06, while resistance sits at $24.53.
Market Sentiment: BTU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+42.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.07 -
$23.68
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BTU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.3% below Wall St target ($31.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.6%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.07 -
$23.68
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.06
Resistance Level
$24.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.82
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+42.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-62.6%
Profit Margin
-4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 9.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.61
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.65
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.88
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→10)
$26.47
(+22%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$36.31
(+66.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+66.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 5:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darren Ronald Yeates
SELL
13892 shares
2026-02-10
Advanced BTU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BTU price and gamma walls.
