CACI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CACI - CACI INTERNATIONAL CLA
$497.75
20.40 (4.27%)
▲
5d:
+2.26%
30d:
+6.61%
90d:
-4.19%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CACI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CACI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$753.73
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$468.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CACI is currently trading at $497.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $457.25 to $494.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CACI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $512.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CACI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $644.00 (+29.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CACI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $512.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CACI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $644.00 (+29.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$457.25 -
$494.88
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
36th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 36th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.4% below Wall St target ($644.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$457.25 -
$494.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$38.38
(7.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$435.92
Resistance Level
$512.31
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.15
Wall Street Target
$644.00
(+29.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$482.82
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$468.33
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$454.28
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$497.80
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.4%)
$836.81
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 9.4%)
$652.04
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 9.4%)
$554.23
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $23.72
Bull Case
$682.16
(+37%)
Analyst growth 29.9%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$620.14
(+25%)
Market implied 29.9%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$324.60
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$545.43
(+9.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CACI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Debora A Plunkett
SELL
220 shares
2026-03-11
J William Koegel Jr
SELL
2000 shares
2026-02-10
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CACI price and gamma walls.
