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CACI INTERNATIONAL CLA (CACI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$645.88
-1.69 (-0.26%) ▼
5d: +2.17% 30d: +5.94% 90d: -3.6%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$602.68 – $658.72
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.0x FAIR
vs 18.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$747.20
+15.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
6th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$578.90 / $694.01
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CACI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$787.69
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$489.10
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CACI is currently trading at $645.88, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $602.68 to $658.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.0) compared to its historical average (18.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CACI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $578.89, while resistance sits at $694.01.

Market Sentiment: CACI scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $747.20 (+15.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $602.68 - $658.72
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 6th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.6%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $602.68 - $658.72
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$34.82 (5.4%)
Support Level $578.90
Resistance Level $694.01
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 6th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($747.20)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.96
Wall Street Target $747.20 (+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 3.7%
Profit Margin 5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.3% premium
PE vs Historical 21.0 vs 18.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $673.65 (+4%)
2-Year Target $702.62 (+9%)
3-Year Target $732.83 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→19) PE COMPRESSION $646.75 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.0, Growth: 9.4%) $845.76 (+31%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.4%) $801.28 (+24%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 9.4%) $681.09 (+6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $24.36
Bull Case $900.98 (+40%)
Analyst growth 26.5%, PE expands to 29.2
Base Case $819.07 (+27%)
Market implied 26.5%, PE stable at 26.6
Bear Case $440.35 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CACI)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: The latest article on SAIC's stock performance reveals that only a small portion of its price appreciation can be attributed to sales growth. The majority of the increase was driven by share buybacks and a widening net margin.
Key Retail Themes: SAIC's stock price appreciation Factors contributing to SAIC's stock price rise
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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