CDP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CDP - COPT Defense Properties
$36.55
0.08 (0.22%)
▲
5d:
-0.73%
30d:
+6.56%
90d:
+13.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CDP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CDP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.68
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDP is currently trading at $36.55, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.75 to $36.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.1) compared to its historical average (22.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$33.75 -
$36.71
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.75 -
$36.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.19
Resistance Level
$38.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.05
Wall Street Target
$36.25
(-0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Profit Margin
20.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.5% premium
PE vs Historical
26.1 vs 22.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.11
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$39.83
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$41.62
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.43
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.1, Growth: 4.9%)
$42.11
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.9%)
$35.21
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 4.9%)
$29.92
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37
Bull Case
$41.05
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.2%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$37.32
(+2%)
Market implied 2.2%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$24.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Philip L Hawkins
SELL
5536 shares
2026-02-23
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