CDP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CDP - COPT Defense Properties
$34.50
0.81 (2.40%)
▲
5d:
+2.04%
30d:
+6.78%
90d:
+9.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CDP is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CDP is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.33
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDP is currently trading at $34.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.80 to $33.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.6) is in line with its historical norms (22.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CDP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CDP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$31.80 -
$33.82
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.80 -
$33.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.12
Resistance Level
$34.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.64
Wall Street Target
$36.00
(+4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Profit Margin
20.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
24.6 vs 22.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.54
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$36.60
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$37.70
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.57
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.6, Growth: 4.9%)
$39.83
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.9%)
$35.21
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 4.9%)
$29.92
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37
Bull Case
$37.87
(+10%)
Analyst growth 2.2%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$34.43
(0%)
Market implied 2.2%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$22.91
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Philip L Hawkins
SELL
5536 shares
2026-02-23
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