CDP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CDP - COPT Defense Properties
$37.54
-0.42 (-1.11%)
▼
5d:
-1.91%
30d:
-0.35%
90d:
+21.06%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CDP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CDP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.74
Based on 3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDP is currently trading at $37.54, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.41 to $37.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.7) compared to its historical average (23.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$36.41 -
$37.94
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.41 -
$37.94
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.93
Resistance Level
$38.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.71
Wall Street Target
$38.88
(+3.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Profit Margin
20.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 23.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.85
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$40.21
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$41.62
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.55
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: 2.5%)
$40.46
(+8%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 2.5%)
$32.62
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 2.5%)
$27.73
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.44
Bull Case
$42.34
(+13%)
Analyst growth 1.4%, PE expands to 29.0
Base Case
$38.49
(+3%)
Market implied 1.4%, PE stable at 26.4
Bear Case
$25.81
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 9:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Philip L Hawkins
SELL
5536 shares
2026-02-23
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