COPT Defense Properties (CDP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CDP - COPT Defense Properties
$33.57
0.30 (0.90%)
▲
5d:
-0.91%
30d:
-5.33%
90d:
-10.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
Get Alerted When CDP Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CDP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CDP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.81
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDP is currently trading at $33.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.12 to $36.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.0) is in line with its historical norms (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CDP scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.38 (+20.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CDP scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.38 (+20.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$34.12 -
$36.51
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.3% below Wall St target ($40.38)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.12 -
$36.51
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.84
Resistance Level
$35.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.99
Wall Street Target
$40.38
(+20.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Profit Margin
20.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.0 vs 23.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.34
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$33.10
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$32.87
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→24)
$33.59
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.0, Growth: 1.0%)
$34.59
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 1.0%)
$30.69
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 1.0%)
$26.09
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$37.36
(+11%)
Analyst growth 2.1%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$33.97
(+1%)
Market implied 2.1%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$22.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.0 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$34.31
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated REIT - Office Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Office by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BXP
BXP, Inc. |
HOLD
22 analysts |
$76 | 62 BUY |
|
SLG
SL Green Realty Corp |
HOLD
18 analysts |
$59 | 67 BUY |
|
CUZ
Cousins Properties Incor… |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$34 | 49 HOLD |
|
KRC
Kilroy Realty Corp |
SELL
17 analysts |
$40 | 55 HOLD |
|
DEI
Douglas Emmett Inc |
HOLD
13 analysts |
$13 | 65 BUY |
