COPT Defense Properties (CDP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CDP - COPT Defense Properties
$35.43
-0.03 (-0.08%)
▼
5d:
+0.37%
30d:
-4.19%
90d:
+3.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CDP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CDP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.81
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDP is currently trading at $35.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.72 to $37.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.3) is in line with its historical norms (23.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.27, while resistance sits at $37.43.
Market Sentiment: CDP scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.62 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.27, while resistance sits at $37.43.
Market Sentiment: CDP scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.62 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$35.72 -
$37.40
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.72 -
$37.40
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.27
Resistance Level
$37.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.27
Wall Street Target
$40.63
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Profit Margin
20.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
24.3 vs 23.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.82
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$36.21
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$36.61
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.45
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.3, Growth: 1.0%)
$36.51
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 1.0%)
$30.34
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 1.0%)
$25.79
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.45
Bull Case
$39.28
(+11%)
Analyst growth 0.7%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case
$35.70
(+1%)
Market implied 0.7%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case
$24.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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