COPT Defense Properties (CDP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CDP - COPT Defense Properties
$33.87
0.04 (0.12%)
▲
5d:
+1.74%
30d:
+0.18%
90d:
-11.5%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CDP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CDP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.64
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDP is currently trading at $33.87, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.23 to $34.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.2) is in line with its historical norms (23.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CDP scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.75 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CDP scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.75 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$33.23 -
$34.27
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.75)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.23 -
$34.27
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.70
Resistance Level
$33.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.17
Wall Street Target
$39.75
(+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Profit Margin
20.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 23.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.69
(0%)
2-Year Target
$33.56
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$33.43
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
$33.76
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: 1.0%)
$34.86
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.0%)
$29.88
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 1.0%)
$25.40
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.44
Bull Case
$36.90
(+9%)
Analyst growth 1.4%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$33.55
(-1%)
Market implied 1.4%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$22.50
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 23.4
Stabilization Target:
$34.16
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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