COPT Defense Properties (CDP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$32.70
-0.25 (-0.76%)
▼
5d:
+1.08%
30d:
-1.57%
90d:
-11.5%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$32.91 – $33.76
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
22.4x
FAIR
vs 23.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$39.13
+19.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$31.42 / $36.21
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CDP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.58
Based on -0.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDP is currently trading at $32.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.91 to $33.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.4) is in line with its historical norms (23.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.42, while resistance sits at $36.21.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.12 (+19.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.42, while resistance sits at $36.21.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.12 (+19.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.91 -
$33.76
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$32.91 -
$33.76
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$31.42
Resistance Level
$36.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.12)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.40
Wall Street Target
$39.13
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.6%
Profit Margin
21.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.4 vs 23.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.24
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$31.79
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$31.35
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→23)
$32.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -4.6%)
$28.41
(+-13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.6%)
$25.20
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -4.6%)
$21.42
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.49
Bull Case
$35.52
(+9%)
Analyst growth -2.0%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$32.29
(-1%)
Market implied -2.0%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case
$22.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.4 to 23.4
Stabilization Target:
$34.16
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CDP)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish sentiment prevails on StockTwits regarding $CDP, with traders identifying bullish engulfing and bullish Marubozu candlestick patterns.
Key Retail Themes:
technical analysis
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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