DB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DB - Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft

State Commercial Banks
$37.82
0.26 (0.69%) ▲
5d: -1.92%
30d: +10.78%
90d: +14.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $38.33 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 5.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: DB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.97
7.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DB is currently trading at $37.82, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.41 to $38.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (7.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: DB scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $35.41 - $38.14
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 39.0%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $35.41 - $38.14
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $37.53
Resistance Level $38.65
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.91
Wall Street Target $40.50 (+7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 18.8%
Profit Margin 22.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium
PE vs Historical 7.9 vs 7.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $39.18 (+4%)
2-Year Target $40.59 (+7%)
3-Year Target $42.05 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→7) PE COMPRESSION $37.75 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 24.9%) $186.85 (+394%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 24.9%) $73.63 (+95%)
Bear: (PE: 6.7, Growth: 24.9%) $62.59 (+66%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.76
Bull Case $52.55 (+39%)
Analyst growth 27.2%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case $47.77 (+26%)
Market implied 27.2%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case $25.54 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DB price and gamma walls.

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