Credicorp (BAP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BAP - Credicorp LTD

Commercial Banks, NEC
$377.90
-1.54 (-0.41%) ▼
5d: -1.64%
30d: +1.53%
90d: +2.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BAP is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$578.70
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$359.33
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BAP is currently trading at $377.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $371.27 to $385.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BAP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $386.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $422.69 (+11.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $371.27 - $385.37
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 30th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.8%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($422.69)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $371.27 - $385.37
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$21.47 (5.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $364.49
Resistance Level $386.20
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.07
Wall Street Target $422.69 (+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 8.6%
Profit Margin 33.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium
PE vs Historical 11.1 vs 10.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $380.55 (+1%)
2-Year Target $383.21 (+1%)
3-Year Target $385.89 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) PE COMPRESSION $376.57 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.0%) $1046.95 (+177%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 15.0%) $574.47 (+52%)
Bear: (PE: 9.4, Growth: 15.0%) $488.30 (+29%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.09
Bull Case $526.08 (+39%)
Analyst growth 26.0%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case $478.26 (+27%)
Market implied 26.0%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case $258.02 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 7:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced BAP Option Strategies

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