Credicorp (BAP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BAP - Credicorp LTD

Commercial Banks, NEC
$373.31
-5.04 (-1.33%) ▼
5d: -3.33%
30d: -1.65%
90d: -4.85%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BAP is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$589.56
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$366.07
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BAP is currently trading at $373.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $373.85 to $385.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BAP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $370.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $427.48 (+14.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $373.85 - $385.99
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 17th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 82.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 17th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($427.48)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (47/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $373.85 - $385.99
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$21.64 (5.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $370.28
Resistance Level $395.00
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.88
Wall Street Target $427.48 (+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 8.6%
Profit Margin 33.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.1% premium
PE vs Historical 10.9 vs 10.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $373.68 (+0%)
2-Year Target $374.06 (+0%)
3-Year Target $374.43 (+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) $375.14 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 15.2%) $1070.52 (+187%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 15.2%) $570.91 (+53%)
Bear: (PE: 9.2, Growth: 15.2%) $485.27 (+30%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $26.37
Bull Case $541.55 (+45%)
Analyst growth 30.1%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case $492.32 (+32%)
Market implied 30.1%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case $257.28 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 10:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:37 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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