DHR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DHR - Danaher Corporation

INDUSTRIAL INSTRUMENTS FOR MEASUREMENT, DISPLAY, AND CONTROL
$218.85
2.94 (1.36%) ▲
5d: +8.1%
30d: +13.69%
90d: +26.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DHR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$287.13
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.28
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DHR is currently trading at $218.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $191.92 to $208.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.5) is in line with its historical norms (22.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DHR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $220.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: DHR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $191.92 - $208.70
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($227.96)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $191.92 - $208.70
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $199.49
Resistance Level $220.67
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.54
Wall Street Target $227.96 (+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 59.7%
Profit Margin 16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.7% premium
PE vs Historical 23.5 vs 22.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $222.57 (+2%)
2-Year Target $226.35 (+3%)
3-Year Target $230.20 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→22) PE COMPRESSION $219.06 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.5, Growth: 9.3%) $285.42 (+30%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.3%) $243.36 (+11%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 9.3%) $206.86 (-6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.72
Bull Case $386.03 (+76%)
Analyst growth 62.5%, PE expands to 41.5
Base Case $350.94 (+60%)
Market implied 62.5%, PE stable at 37.8
Bear Case $146.82 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-10

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