EPAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPAM - EPAM SYSTEMS, INC.
$110.34
3.58 (3.35%)
▲
5d:
+9.79%
30d:
+28.09%
90d:
+6.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EPAM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EPAM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$188.76
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.20
5.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPAM is currently trading at $110.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.17 to $106.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: EPAM scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.82 (+11.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: EPAM scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.82 (+11.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$89.17 -
$106.02
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EPAM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($122.82)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.17 -
$106.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$95.64
Resistance Level
$112.49
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.85
Wall Street Target
$122.82
(+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.3%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 10.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.85
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$92.18
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$84.25
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$110.56
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.9%)
$344.69
(+212%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 6.9%)
$134.79
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 6.9%)
$114.58
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.32
Bull Case
$225.54
(+104%)
Analyst growth 92.1%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$205.04
(+86%)
Market implied 92.1%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$72.60
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$144.80
(+31.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-13
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EPAM price and gamma walls.
