EPAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPAM - EPAM SYSTEMS, INC.
$83.89
-3.40 (-3.90%)
▼
5d:
-4.96%
30d:
-12.29%
90d:
-32.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
25d
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1 traders called EPAM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EPAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EPAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$210.91
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$130.96
35.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPAM is currently trading at $83.89, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.20 to $97.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.9) compared to its historical average (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $142.82 (+70.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $142.82 (+70.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$80.20 -
$97.27
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 70.3% below Wall St target ($142.82)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.20 -
$97.27
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.66
Resistance Level
$111.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.92
Wall Street Target
$142.82
(+70.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.8%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.9 vs 11.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.50
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$67.95
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$61.16
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→11)
$113.61
(+35%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$394.05
(+370%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$107.13
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.0, Growth: 8.5%)
$91.06
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.06
Bull Case
$192.04
(+129%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$174.58
(+108%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$59.36
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.9 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$155.85
(+85.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+85.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 11, 2026 2:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
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