EPAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPAM - EPAM SYSTEMS, INC.
$86.38
2.49 (2.97%)
▲
5d:
-0.54%
30d:
-7.16%
90d:
-29.47%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EPAM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -17.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EPAM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -17.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$208.28
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$129.33
33.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPAM is currently trading at $86.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.97 to $94.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.1) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EPAM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.06 (+61.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EPAM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.06 (+61.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$79.97 -
$94.01
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 61.0% below Wall St target ($139.06)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.97 -
$94.01
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.66
Resistance Level
$111.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.10
Wall Street Target
$139.06
(+61.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.8%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 10.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.74
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$69.97
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$62.97
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→11)
$112.46
(+30%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.4%)
$393.01
(+355%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.1, Growth: 8.4%)
$110.14
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 8.4%)
$93.62
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.96
Bull Case
$184.56
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$167.78
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$57.05
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.1 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$154.26
(+78.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+78.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EPAM price and gamma walls.
