EPAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPAM - EPAM SYSTEMS, INC.
$100.50
-1.05 (-1.03%)
âŧ
5d:
+3.15%
30d:
+14.63%
90d:
+12.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $97.37 · last confirmed Aug 10, 2026
Strength: 7.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EPAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EPAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$189.45
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.64
14.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPAM is currently trading at $100.50, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.92 to $102.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.2) compared to its historical average (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $87.00, while resistance sits at $113.00.
Market Sentiment: EPAM scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.82 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $87.00, while resistance sits at $113.00.
Market Sentiment: EPAM scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.82 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$85.92 -
$102.86
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EPAM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($122.82)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.92 -
$102.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.00
Resistance Level
$113.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.16
Wall Street Target
$122.82
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.3%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 10.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.45
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$81.41
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$73.26
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â10)
$106.45
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.7%)
$345.36
(+244%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 6.7%)
$122.19
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 6.7%)
$103.87
(+3%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.46
Bull Case
$210.24
(+109%)
Analyst growth 88.2%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$191.13
(+90%)
Market implied 88.2%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$69.05
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$146.02
(+45.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 16, 2026 1:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
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Advanced EPAM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EPAM price and gamma walls.
