ESP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESP - Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp
$55.77
-4.15 (-6.93%)
▼
5d:
-14.34%
30d:
-3.73%
90d:
-6.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ESP is down 14.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ESP is down 14.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.70
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESP is currently trading at $55.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.78 to $65.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 57.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $54.05, while resistance sits at $60.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.00 (+16.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $54.05, while resistance sits at $60.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.00 (+16.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$57.78 -
$65.57
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($65.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.78 -
$65.57
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.05
Resistance Level
$60.59
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.03
Wall Street Target
$65.00
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.1%
Profit Margin
25.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.82
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$51.93
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$50.12
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$55.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -1.6%)
$77.01
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: -1.6%)
$53.15
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: -1.6%)
$45.18
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case
$64.18
(+15%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$58.35
(+5%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$40.75
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$61.96
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael W Wool
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-19
Paul J Corr
SELL
2400 shares
2026-02-18
Paul J Corr
SELL
2242 shares
2026-02-18
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