ESP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESP - Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp
$64.78
2.47 (3.96%)
▲
5d:
+1.08%
30d:
+12.5%
90d:
+12.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 15, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ESP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ESP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.31
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESP is currently trading at $64.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.90 to $63.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$57.90 -
$63.75
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($65.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.90 -
$63.75
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.24
Resistance Level
$66.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.46
Wall Street Target
$65.00
(+0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.1%
Profit Margin
25.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 16.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.82
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$66.87
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$67.94
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.59
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -1.6%)
$70.96
(+10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: -1.6%)
$61.74
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: -1.6%)
$52.48
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case
$66.74
(+3%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$60.67
(-6%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$42.37
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 8:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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