ESP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESP - Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp
$60.41
1.24 (2.10%)
▲
5d:
+3.96%
30d:
-7.02%
90d:
-14.92%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 15, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ESP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ESP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.31
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESP is currently trading at $60.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.58 to $63.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 57.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $56.09, while resistance sits at $62.28.
Market Sentiment: ESP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $56.09, while resistance sits at $62.28.
Market Sentiment: ESP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$56.58 -
$63.67
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($65.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.58 -
$63.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.09
Resistance Level
$62.28
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.28
Wall Street Target
$65.00
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.1%
Profit Margin
25.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 16.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.05
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$59.69
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$59.33
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$60.48
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -1.6%)
$73.29
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: -1.6%)
$57.57
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: -1.6%)
$48.94
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case
$63.38
(+5%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$57.62
(-5%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$40.24
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 16.6
Stabilization Target:
$61.59
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 5:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael W Wool
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-19
Paul J Corr
SELL
2400 shares
2026-02-18
Paul J Corr
SELL
2242 shares
2026-02-18
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