Espey Mfg. & Electronics (ESP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESP - Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp
$52.02
0.77 (1.50%)
▲
5d:
-6.41%
30d:
-17.75%
90d:
-10.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ESP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ESP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.31
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESP is currently trading at $52.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.09 to $64.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (16.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $50.00, while resistance sits at $60.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+34.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $50.00, while resistance sits at $60.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+34.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$56.09 -
$64.69
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.6% below Wall St target ($70.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.09 -
$64.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.00
Resistance Level
$60.48
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.02
Wall Street Target
$70.00
(+34.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
40.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Profit Margin
24.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 16.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.16
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$46.46
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$43.90
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$51.97
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.6%)
$70.22
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: -1.6%)
$49.58
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: -1.6%)
$42.14
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.89
Bull Case
$53.77
(+3%)
Analyst growth -4.6%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$48.88
(-6%)
Market implied -4.6%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$34.85
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 16.6
Stabilization Target:
$61.59
(+18.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 10:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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