ESP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESP - Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp
$55.75
-2.10 (-3.63%)
▼
5d:
-6.18%
30d:
-18.94%
90d:
-2.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ESP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ESP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.10
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESP is currently trading at $55.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.74 to $70.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 57.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ESP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.00 (+16.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ESP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.00 (+16.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$58.74 -
$70.85
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($65.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$58.74 -
$70.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.00
Resistance Level
$61.12
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.03
Wall Street Target
$65.00
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.1%
Profit Margin
25.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.80
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$51.92
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$50.10
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$56.01
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -1.6%)
$77.47
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: -1.6%)
$53.13
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: -1.6%)
$45.16
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case
$63.65
(+7%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$57.86
(-3%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$40.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$62.33
(+11.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael W Wool
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-19
Paul J Corr
SELL
2400 shares
2026-02-18
Paul J Corr
SELL
2242 shares
2026-02-18
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