ESP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESP - Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp
$66.00
-1.10 (-1.64%)
▼
5d:
+10.46%
30d:
+14.6%
90d:
+20.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ESP is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ESP is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.31
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESP is currently trading at $66.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.08 to $61.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ESP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ESP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$56.08 -
$61.72
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.9% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($65.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.08 -
$61.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.05
Resistance Level
$60.59
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.79
Wall Street Target
$65.00
(-1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.1%
Profit Margin
25.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 16.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.45
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$68.94
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$70.45
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.74
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -1.6%)
$77.01
(+17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: -1.6%)
$62.90
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: -1.6%)
$53.46
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case
$71.87
(+9%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$65.34
(-1%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$45.63
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael W Wool
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-19
Paul J Corr
SELL
2400 shares
2026-02-18
Paul J Corr
SELL
2242 shares
2026-02-18
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