Espey Mfg. & Electronics (ESP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESP - Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp
$63.23
0.97 (1.56%)
â˛
5d:
-3.66%
30d:
+1.98%
90d:
-2.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ESP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ESP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.70
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESP is currently trading at $63.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.23 to $64.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.43, while resistance sits at $66.90.
Market Sentiment: ESP scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+10.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.43, while resistance sits at $66.90.
Market Sentiment: ESP scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+10.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$62.23 -
$64.37
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.23 -
$64.37
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.43
Resistance Level
$66.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.04
Wall Street Target
$70.00
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
40.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Profit Margin
24.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.67
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$64.12
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$64.57
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â17)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -1.6%)
$72.13
(+14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: -1.6%)
$60.26
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: -1.6%)
$51.22
(-19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.70
Bull Case
$68.67
(+9%)
Analyst growth 0.3%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$62.43
(-1%)
Market implied 0.3%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$42.34
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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