LDOS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LDOS - Leidos Holdings, Inc.
$115.60
3.19 (2.84%)
▲
5d:
+3.09%
30d:
+12.16%
90d:
-22.53%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LDOS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LDOS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$203.30
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$126.23
8.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LDOS is currently trading at $115.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.01 to $110.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LDOS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $103.90, while resistance sits at $119.18.
Market Sentiment: LDOS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $150.67 (+30.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LDOS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $103.90, while resistance sits at $119.18.
Market Sentiment: LDOS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $150.67 (+30.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$103.01 -
$110.96
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.3% below Wall St target ($150.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$103.01 -
$110.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.90
Resistance Level
$119.18
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.82
Wall Street Target
$150.67
(+30.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 12.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.04
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$93.64
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$84.27
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$115.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.2%)
$325.38
(+182%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 6.2%)
$138.47
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 6.2%)
$117.70
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.75
Bull Case
$150.72
(+30%)
Analyst growth 21.9%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$137.02
(+19%)
Market implied 21.9%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$76.44
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 12.1
Stabilization Target:
$158.55
(+37.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LDOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth A Porter
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-07
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Advanced LDOS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LDOS price and gamma walls.
