Leidos (LDOS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LDOS - Leidos Holdings, Inc.
$134.32
5.09 (3.93%)
â˛
5d:
+8.32%
30d:
+7.72%
90d:
+19.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LDOS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LDOS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$166.47
Based on 2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$103.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LDOS is currently trading at $134.31, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $119.44 to $128.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LDOS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $133.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: LDOS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $151.73 (+17.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LDOS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $133.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: LDOS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $151.73 (+17.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$119.44 -
$128.64
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LDOS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($151.73)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$119.44 -
$128.64
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$117.84
Resistance Level
$133.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.30
Wall Street Target
$151.73
(+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 11.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$124.06
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$119.10
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$114.33
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â12)
$129.89
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.1%)
$257.67
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 1.1%)
$133.61
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 1.1%)
$113.57
(-12%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.71
Bull Case
$164.53
(+27%)
Analyst growth 17.2%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$149.57
(+16%)
Market implied 17.2%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$86.81
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 11.7
Stabilization Target:
$146.82
(+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LDOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LDOS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LDOS price and gamma walls.
