What is the fair value of LION stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for LION to be between $13.22 and $15.07. The current price is $13.28.

What is the analyst price target for LION?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for LION is $15.40. This implies a potential upside of 15.1% from current levels.

LION Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LION - Lionsgate Studios Corp.

SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE & VIDEO TAPE PRODUCTION

$13.28

-0.10 (-0.75%) ▼

5d: -0.45%

30d: -11.64%

90d: +6.75%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 2d

Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 5.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LION trades at premium valuation expecting 8.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$7.85

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$4.87

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LION is currently trading at $13.28, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.22 to $15.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 59.7) compared to its historical average (46.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LION is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.87, while resistance sits at $14.02.

Market Sentiment: LION has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.40 (+15.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $13.22 - $15.07

Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 53.8%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.40)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.8% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.22 - $15.07

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.87

Resistance Level $14.02

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 59.73

Wall Street Target $15.40 (+15.1%)

Valuation Premium vs History +8.8% premium

PE vs Historical 59.7 vs 46.4 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +8.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $14.56 (+9%)

2-Year Target $15.84 (+18%)

3-Year Target $17.23 (+29%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 60→46) PE COMPRESSION $13.39 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

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Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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