What is the fair value of LION stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for LION to be between $12.92 and $14.91. The current price is $15.10.

What is the analyst price target for LION?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for LION is $15.22. This implies a potential upside of 0.1% from current levels.

LION Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LION - Lionsgate Studios Corp.

SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE & VIDEO TAPE PRODUCTION

$15.10

-0.11 (-0.72%) ▼

5d: +5.08%

30d: +16.96%

90d: +56.48%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 06, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 6.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LION trades at premium valuation expecting 15.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$7.85

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$4.87

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LION is currently trading at $15.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.92 to $14.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 67.9) compared to its historical average (43.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LION is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LION has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $12.92 - $14.91

Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 56.2%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.22)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 15.9% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.92 - $14.91

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.19

Resistance Level $14.74

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 67.90

Wall Street Target $15.22 (+0.1%)

Valuation Premium vs History +15.9% premium

PE vs Historical 67.9 vs 43.6 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +15.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $17.63 (+16%)

2-Year Target $20.43 (+34%)

3-Year Target $23.68 (+56%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 68→44) PE COMPRESSION $15.20 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

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Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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