Is LION stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, LION is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LION shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of LION stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for LION to be between $12.04 and $13.63. The current price is $11.51.

What is the analyst price target for LION?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for LION is $15.40. This implies a potential upside of 33.8% from current levels.

LION Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LION - Lionsgate Studios Corp.

SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE & VIDEO TAPE PRODUCTION

$11.51

0.05 (0.44%) ▲

5d: -4.0%

30d: -14.1%

90d: -10.84%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $12.97 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026

Strength: 7.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LION shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$7.85

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$4.87

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LION is currently trading at $11.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.04 to $13.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 51.4) is in line with its historical norms (46.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LION is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.40 (+33.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $12.04 - $13.63

Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 80.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 33.8% below Wall St target ($15.40)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.04 - $13.63

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.39

Resistance Level $13.10

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 51.38

Wall Street Target $15.40 (+33.8%)

Valuation Premium vs History +3.1% premium

PE vs Historical 51.4 vs 46.9 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $11.87 (+3%)

2-Year Target $12.23 (+6%)

3-Year Target $12.61 (+10%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 51→47) PE COMPRESSION $11.51 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

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Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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NEUTRAL

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Advanced LION Option Strategies

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