Lionsgate Studios (LION) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LION - Lionsgate Studios Corp.

SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE & VIDEO TAPE PRODUCTION
$11.25
0.05 (0.45%) ▲
5d: +2.46%
30d: +2.55%
90d: -23.26%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your LION Gains
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 18, 2026 at $10.74 · last confirmed Sep 29, 2026

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LION is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.85
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.87
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LION is currently trading at $11.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.01 to $11.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 50.2) is in line with its historical norms (47.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LION is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.46, while resistance sits at $11.70.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.08 (+34.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $11.01 - $11.48
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.3%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.1% below Wall St target ($15.08)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.01 - $11.48
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.46
Resistance Level $11.70
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 50.22
Wall Street Target $15.08 (+34.1%)
Valuation Premium vs History +1.9% premium
PE vs Historical 50.2 vs 47.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.46 (+2%)
2-Year Target $11.68 (+4%)
3-Year Target $11.90 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 50→47) PE COMPRESSION $11.23 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:57 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced LION Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LION price and gamma walls.

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