What is the fair value of LION stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for LION to be between $11.11 and $12.42. The current price is $11.27.

What is the analyst price target for LION?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for LION is $15.40. This implies a potential upside of 36.6% from current levels.

Lionsgate Studios (LION) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LION - Lionsgate Studios Corp.

SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE & VIDEO TAPE PRODUCTION

$11.27

0.12 (1.08%) ▲

5d: +1.53%

30d: -3.92%

90d: -19.04%

BUY

MODERATE Confidence

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $11.10 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LION shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$7.85

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$4.87

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LION is currently trading at $11.27, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.11 to $12.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 50.3) is in line with its historical norms (47.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LION is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.92, while resistance sits at $11.68.

Market Sentiment: LION scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.40 (+36.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $11.11 - $12.42

Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 91.4%

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 36.6% below Wall St target ($15.40)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 67/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.11 - $12.42

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.92

Resistance Level $11.68

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 50.31

Wall Street Target $15.40 (+36.6%)

Valuation Premium vs History +2.2% premium

PE vs Historical 50.3 vs 47.2 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $11.52 (+2%)

2-Year Target $11.77 (+4%)

3-Year Target $12.03 (+7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 50→47) PE COMPRESSION $11.29 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

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Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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NEUTRAL

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Advanced LION Option Strategies

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