LION Lionsgate Studios Corp. SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE & VIDEO TAPE PRODUCTION

Lionsgate Studios (LION) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$14.37
+0.13 (+0.91%) ▲
5d: +15.42% 30d: +29.69% 90d: +22.51%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (18%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$11.02 – $13.08
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
64.2x STRETCHED
vs 48.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$15.42
+7.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.04 / $14.41
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LION shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.85
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.87
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LION is currently trading at $14.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.02 to $13.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 64.2) compared to its historical average (48.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LION is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LION scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $11.02 - $13.08
Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 18.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $11.02 - $13.08
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $12.04
Resistance Level $14.41
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Protect Your Profits

LION is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.9% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.42)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.1% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 64.15
Wall Street Target $15.42 (+7.3%)
Valuation Premium vs History +10.1% premium
PE vs Historical 64.2 vs 48.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +10.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.82 (+10%)
2-Year Target $17.42 (+21%)
3-Year Target $19.18 (+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 64→48) PE COMPRESSION $14.38 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LION)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Traders on StockTwits express optimism about potential gains for $LION in the upcoming week, despite the lack of recent news articles.
Key Retail Themes: Positive sentiment towards $LION Anticipation for potential price movement
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive LION Research Pages
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