OESX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OESX - Orion Energy Systems, Inc.
$9.53
-0.11 (-1.14%)
▼
5d:
+9.29%
30d:
+5.07%
90d:
-0.21%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OESX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -18.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OESX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -18.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.63
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.29
37.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OESX is currently trading at $9.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.05 to $9.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OESX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.74, while resistance sits at $11.88.
Market Sentiment: OESX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+130.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OESX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.74, while resistance sits at $11.88.
Market Sentiment: OESX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+130.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.05 -
$9.89
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 130.8% below Wall St target ($22.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.05 -
$9.89
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.74
Resistance Level
$11.88
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.14
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+130.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.7%
Profit Margin
-3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 18.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.58
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.72
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.95
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→19)
$12.81
(+35%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$17.58
(+84.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+84.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 9:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OESX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
J Per Brodin
BUY
500 shares
2026-02-27
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