OESX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OESX - Orion Energy Systems, Inc.
$10.28
-0.07 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
-15.53%
30d:
+10.06%
90d:
+10.06%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OESX is down 15.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OESX is down 15.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.71
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.72
30.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OESX is currently trading at $10.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.26 to $11.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OESX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.74, while resistance sits at $11.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+114.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OESX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.74, while resistance sits at $11.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+114.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.26 -
$11.24
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 114.0% below Wall St target ($22.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.26 -
$11.24
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.74
Resistance Level
$11.88
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.94
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+114.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.7%
Profit Margin
-3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 18.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.25
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.49
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→18)
$12.33
(+20%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$16.92
(+64.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+64.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OESX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
J Per Brodin
BUY
500 shares
2026-02-27
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