Orion Energy Systems (OESX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OESX - Orion Energy Systems, Inc.
$30.44
-0.29 (-0.93%)
▼
5d:
-0.49%
30d:
+39.76%
90d:
+150.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OESX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OESX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.29
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OESX is currently trading at $30.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.66 to $29.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.4) compared to its historical average (19.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 19.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OESX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.13, while resistance sits at $31.65.
Market Sentiment: OESX scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.50 (+19.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OESX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.13, while resistance sits at $31.65.
Market Sentiment: OESX scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.50 (+19.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.66 -
$29.94
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($36.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 19.0% growth with 31.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.66 -
$29.94
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.13
Resistance Level
$31.65
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.38
Wall Street Target
$36.50
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+19.0% premium
PE vs Historical
32.4 vs 19.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+19.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.22
(+19%)
2-Year Target
$43.11
(+42%)
3-Year Target
$51.30
(+69%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OESX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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