OESX
Orion Energy Systems, Inc.
ELECTRIC LIGHTING & WIRING EQUIPMENT
Orion Energy Systems (OESX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$13.08
-0.51 (-3.75%)
▼
5d:
-3.47%
30d:
-46.68%
90d:
-32.4%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$15.91 – $25.63
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.9x
CHEAP
vs 19.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$36.50
+179.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$11.46 / $21.47
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: OESX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.95
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.11
18.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OESX is currently trading at $13.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.91 to $25.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (19.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OESX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.46, while resistance sits at $21.47. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.50 (+179.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OESX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.46, while resistance sits at $21.47. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.50 (+179.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.91 -
$25.63
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$15.91 -
$25.63
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$11.46
Resistance Level
$21.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 179.1% below Wall St target ($36.50)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.91
Wall Street Target
$36.50
(+179.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.7%
Profit Margin
-0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 19.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.59
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.54
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→20)
$13.50
(+3%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 19.7
Stabilization Target:
$18.52
(+41.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OESX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
CEO of $OESX, Washlow Sally A., bought 812 shares at $12.20, signaling confidence in the stock.
Key Retail Themes:
CEO confidence
Share buyback
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 12:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OESX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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