AWK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AWK - American Water Works Company, Inc
$135.39
-1.82 (-1.33%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.59%
30d:
+0.73%
90d:
+9.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AWK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AWK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$178.75
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AWK is currently trading at $135.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $132.61 to $136.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.6) is in line with its historical norms (20.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AWK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $131.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AWK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $131.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$132.61 -
$136.86
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AWK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($140.36)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$132.61 -
$136.86
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$131.90
Resistance Level
$139.36
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.62
Wall Street Target
$140.36
(+3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 20.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$135.80
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$136.20
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$136.61
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â20)
PE COMPRESSION
$135.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 7.9%)
$170.14
(+26%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.9%)
$165.60
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 7.9%)
$140.76
(+4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.71
Bull Case
$173.55
(+28%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$157.77
(+17%)
Market implied 15.0%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$93.30
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AWK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rick Larsen
SELL
2026-04-07
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