AWK
American Water Works Company, Inc
WATER SUPPLY
American Water Works (AWK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$149.66
-0.70 (-0.47%)
▼
5d:
+0.02%
30d:
+15.08%
90d:
+9.67%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect AWK Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (22%)
Quality Score
33/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$130.83 – $147.34
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
22.7x
FAIR
vs 20.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$141.91
-5.2% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$139.03 / $153.69
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AWK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Get Alerted When AWK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$183.36
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$113.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AWK is currently trading at $149.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $130.83 to $147.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.7) compared to its historical average (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AWK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $153.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AWK scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AWK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $153.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AWK scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$130.83 -
$147.34
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$130.83 -
$147.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$139.03
Resistance Level
$153.69
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding AWK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($141.91)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.70
Wall Street Target
$141.91
(-5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$154.75
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$160.01
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$165.45
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$150.13
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 8.4%)
$190.41
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.4%)
$166.57
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 8.4%)
$141.59
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.78
Bull Case
$188.64
(+26%)
Analyst growth 14.1%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case
$171.49
(+15%)
Market implied 14.1%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$102.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share AWK Analysis
Share this live AWK analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AWK)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The Senate passed a bill requiring data centers to pay for their own power bills, which could potentially impact American Water and related utilities. The bill still needs final approval in the House and from President Trump.
Key Retail Themes:
Senate bill affecting data centers and utility companies
Technical improvement in $AWK's moving averages
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AWK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Water Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Water by analyst ratings.
Advanced AWK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AWK price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive AWK Research Pages
