American Water Works (AWK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AWK - American Water Works Company, Inc
$143.23
8.47 (6.29%)
▲
5d:
+7.66%
30d:
+7.64%
90d:
+6.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AWK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AWK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$179.63
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$111.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AWK is currently trading at $143.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $128.62 to $136.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AWK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $143.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: AWK scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AWK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $143.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: AWK scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$128.62 -
$136.58
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
Protect Your Profits
AWK is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($140.36)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$128.62 -
$136.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$127.31
Resistance Level
$143.29
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.81
Wall Street Target
$140.36
(-2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
21.8 vs 20.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$146.38
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$149.60
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$152.89
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$143.68
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.9%)
$179.96
(+26%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.9%)
$163.84
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 7.9%)
$139.26
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.77
Bull Case
$168.68
(+18%)
Analyst growth 13.8%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$153.35
(+7%)
Market implied 13.8%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$91.64
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AWK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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