CWT
California Water Service
WATER SUPPLY
California Water Service (CWT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$49.67
-0.38 (-0.76%)
▼
5d:
-0.58%
30d:
+7.65%
90d:
-1.04%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$45.75 – $49.35
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.2x
FAIR
vs 17.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$54.75
+10.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$46.46 / $51.60
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CWT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.02
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CWT is currently trading at $49.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.75 to $49.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.2) is in line with its historical norms (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $46.46, while resistance sits at $51.60.
Market Sentiment: CWT scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.75 (+10.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $46.46, while resistance sits at $51.60.
Market Sentiment: CWT scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.75 (+10.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$45.75 -
$49.35
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$45.75 -
$49.35
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$46.46
Resistance Level
$51.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($54.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.23
Wall Street Target
$54.75
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 17.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.66
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$51.68
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$52.71
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$49.74
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.0%)
$60.89
(+23%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 4.0%)
$55.88
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 4.0%)
$47.50
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.26
Bull Case
$66.38
(+34%)
Analyst growth 20.6%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$60.35
(+22%)
Market implied 20.6%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$34.03
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CWT)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
California Water Service Group reported solid Q3 results with earnings of $1.05 per share on revenue of $332.2 million.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CWT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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