California Water Service (CWT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CWT - California Water Service
$48.22
-0.64 (-1.31%)
▼
5d:
-4.57%
30d:
-3.52%
90d:
+6.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CWT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CWT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.65
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CWT is currently trading at $48.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.40 to $50.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWT is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $47.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.33 (+14.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWT is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $47.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.33 (+14.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$49.40 -
$50.47
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($55.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.40 -
$50.47
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.96
Resistance Level
$50.95
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.53
Wall Street Target
$55.33
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.4%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 17.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.51
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$48.80
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$49.09
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 5.5%)
$65.13
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 5.5%)
$56.62
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 5.5%)
$48.13
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.20
Bull Case
$67.18
(+39%)
Analyst growth 25.0%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$61.08
(+27%)
Market implied 25.0%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$33.22
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CWT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael B Luu
SELL
740 shares
2026-03-20
Michael S Mares Jr
SELL
3892 shares
2026-03-20
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