Is CNR stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CNR is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: CNR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CNR stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CNR to be between $89.74 and $100.09. The current price is $88.96.

What is the analyst price target for CNR?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CNR is $109.50. This implies a potential upside of 23.1% from current levels.

Core Natural Resources (CNR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNR - Core Natural Resources, Inc.

BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE MINING

$88.96

1.36 (1.55%) ▲

5d: -0.07%

30d: -13.35%

90d: +10.06%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 2, 2026 at $88.96 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026

Strength: 5.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$153.10

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$95.06

6.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNR is currently trading at $88.96, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.74 to $100.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.33, while resistance sits at $94.79.

Market Sentiment: CNR scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.50 (+23.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $89.74 - $100.09

Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 95.0%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($109.50)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.3% growth with 3.5% revenue growth
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 23% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $89.74 - $100.09

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$5.45 (6.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $83.33

Resistance Level $94.79

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.58

Wall Street Target $109.50 (+23.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -81.1%

Profit Margin 2.4%

Valuation Premium vs History +4.3% premium

PE vs Historical 13.6 vs 12.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $92.79 (+4%)

2-Year Target $96.78 (+9%)

3-Year Target $100.94 (+14%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→12) PE COMPRESSION $89.20 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 28.7%) $285.13 (+221%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 28.7%) $189.78 (+113%)

Bear: (PE: 11.5, Growth: 28.7%) $161.32 (+81%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 43.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.03

Bull Case $192.72 (+117%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.5

Base Case $175.20 (+97%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.2

Bear Case $59.57 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 03, 2026 4:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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