CNR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNR - Core Natural Resources, Inc.

BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE MINING
$81.58
-0.67 (-0.81%) ▼
5d: -4.89%
30d: -2.96%
90d: -25.62%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$171.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$106.66
23.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNR is currently trading at $81.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.74 to $93.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.50 (+33.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $83.74 - $93.48
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.1% below Wall St target ($109.50)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $83.74 - $93.48
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $80.72
Resistance Level $96.26
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.54
Wall Street Target $109.50 (+33.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -81.1%
Profit Margin -1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.5 vs 11.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $80.36 (-2%)
2-Year Target $78.51 (-5%)
3-Year Target $76.70 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) $82.26 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 107.0%) $573.81 (+598%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 107.0%) $277.59 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 9.0, Growth: 107.0%) $235.95 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 11.3
Stabilization Target: $88.21 (+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.2%
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 10:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:13 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James A Brock SELL 40760 shares 2026-03-18
John Rothka SELL 1000 shares 2026-03-17
John Rothka SELL 3800 shares 2026-03-10

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