Core Natural Resources (CNR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNR - Core Natural Resources, Inc.

BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE MINING
$97.47
-1.05 (-1.07%) â–ŧ
5d: +0.04%
30d: +2.65%
90d: +8.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $99.62 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 4.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: CNR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$150.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.48
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNR is currently trading at $97.47, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.63 to $100.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $95.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CNR scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.50 (+12.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $90.63 - $100.76
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.4%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($109.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.0% growth with 3.5% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $90.63 - $100.76
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$5.22 (5.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $95.44
Resistance Level $104.87
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.88
Wall Street Target $109.50 (+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -81.1%
Profit Margin 2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.0% premium
PE vs Historical 14.9 vs 11.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $105.27 (+8%)
2-Year Target $113.69 (+17%)
3-Year Target $122.78 (+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→12) PE COMPRESSION $97.39 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 28.7%) $281.92 (+189%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 28.7%) $207.94 (+113%)
Bear: (PE: 11.8, Growth: 28.7%) $164.93 (+69%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99
Bull Case $216.74 (+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.5
Base Case $197.04 (+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.5
Bear Case $66.99 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:17 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James A Brock SELL 40760 shares 2026-03-18
John Rothka SELL 1000 shares 2026-03-17

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