CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares
$27.14
0.66 (2.49%)
▲
5d:
+0.59%
30d:
-5.14%
90d:
-19.92%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSTM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.3% annual earnings decline despite 316% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSTM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.3% annual earnings decline despite 316% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.19
Based on -15.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $27.14, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.86 to $29.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 316.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSTM scores 87/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.77 (+39.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSTM scores 87/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.77 (+39.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$26.86 -
$29.33
Company Quality Score
71/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (87/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.2% below Wall St target ($37.77)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 87/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.86 -
$29.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.91
Resistance Level
$27.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.28
Wall Street Target
$37.77
(+39.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
316.0%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 13.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.70
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$24.34
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$23.05
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$27.18
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -34.3%)
$35.48
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: -34.3%)
$19.79
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: -34.3%)
$16.82
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.87
Bull Case
$18.11
(-33%)
Analyst growth -37.8%, PE expands to 7.5
Base Case
$16.46
(-39%)
Market implied -37.8%, PE stable at 6.8
Bear Case
$18.01
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$32.00
(+17.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 05, 2026 5:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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