CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares
$29.49
-0.75 (-2.48%)
▼
5d:
-12.57%
30d:
-18.24%
90d:
+7.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CSTM is down 12.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CSTM is down 12.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.81
Based on -5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $29.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.10 to $35.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 446.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.37 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.37 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.10 -
$35.39
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CSTM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($37.37)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.10 -
$35.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.24
Resistance Level
$36.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.67
Wall Street Target
$37.37
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
446.9%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 13.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.87
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$26.34
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$24.89
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$29.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -15.2%)
$40.12
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: -15.2%)
$21.50
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: -15.2%)
$18.27
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case
$26.86
(-9%)
Analyst growth -19.3%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$24.41
(-17%)
Market implied -19.3%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$20.56
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$34.87
(+18.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 3:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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