CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares
$26.98
-0.43 (-1.57%)
▼
5d:
-0.22%
30d:
-5.57%
90d:
-21.25%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CSTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.19
Based on -15.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $26.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.33 to $29.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 316.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.67, while resistance sits at $29.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.85 (+40.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.67, while resistance sits at $29.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.85 (+40.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$27.33 -
$29.59
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CSTM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.3% below Wall St target ($37.85)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.33 -
$29.59
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.67
Resistance Level
$29.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.21
Wall Street Target
$37.85
(+40.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
316.0%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 13.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.47
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$24.04
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$22.70
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$26.92
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -34.3%)
$35.20
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: -34.3%)
$19.67
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: -34.3%)
$16.72
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.87
Bull Case
$18.75
(-31%)
Analyst growth -37.8%, PE expands to 7.8
Base Case
$17.04
(-37%)
Market implied -37.8%, PE stable at 7.1
Bear Case
$18.64
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$32.00
(+18.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 28, 2026 11:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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