CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares
$25.42
-0.08 (-0.31%)
▼
5d:
+5.08%
30d:
-7.5%
90d:
-14.24%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CSTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.66
Based on -9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $25.42, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.81 to $26.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 316.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSTM scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.49 (+39.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSTM scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.49 (+39.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$24.81 -
$26.78
Company Quality Score
76/100
(STRONG BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CSTM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (85/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.6% below Wall St target ($35.49)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.81 -
$26.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.73
Resistance Level
$25.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.95
Wall Street Target
$35.49
(+39.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
316.0%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 13.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.26
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$21.28
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$19.47
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$25.43
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.7, Growth: -22.9%)
$36.68
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: -22.9%)
$18.53
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: -22.9%)
$15.75
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.87
Bull Case
$18.51
(-27%)
Analyst growth -34.0%, PE expands to 7.3
Base Case
$16.83
(-34%)
Market implied -34.0%, PE stable at 6.6
Bear Case
$17.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$33.20
(+30.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 08, 2026 8:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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