CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares
$34.07
-2.08 (-5.75%)
▼
5d:
-0.55%
30d:
+2.22%
90d:
+37.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSTM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSTM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.99
Based on -5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $34.07, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.75 to $34.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.59, while resistance sits at $36.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSTM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.59, while resistance sits at $36.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSTM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$31.75 -
$34.80
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.75 -
$34.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.59
Resistance Level
$36.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.31
Wall Street Target
$37.40
(+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
446.9%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.48
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$36.80
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$37.13
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.08
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -15.2%)
$40.36
(+12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: -15.2%)
$26.35
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: -15.2%)
$22.40
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case
$31.85
(-12%)
Analyst growth -19.3%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$28.95
(-20%)
Market implied -19.3%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$24.38
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 05, 2026 11:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
4614 shares
2026-03-10
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SELL
41717 shares
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2026-03-10
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