CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares
$26.19
0.26 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
+0.77%
30d:
-6.43%
90d:
-22.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSTM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSTM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.09
Based on -15.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $26.19, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.97 to $28.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 316.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.04, while resistance sits at $28.10.
Market Sentiment: CSTM scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.22 (+42.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.04, while resistance sits at $28.10.
Market Sentiment: CSTM scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.22 (+42.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$25.97 -
$28.62
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.1% below Wall St target ($37.22)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.97 -
$28.62
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.04
Resistance Level
$28.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.89
Wall Street Target
$37.22
(+42.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
316.0%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 13.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.57
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$23.04
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$21.61
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$26.21
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -34.3%)
$35.43
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: -34.3%)
$19.09
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: -34.3%)
$16.23
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.92
Bull Case
$17.51
(-33%)
Analyst growth -38.6%, PE expands to 7.3
Base Case
$15.92
(-39%)
Market implied -38.6%, PE stable at 6.6
Bear Case
$17.63
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 13.2
Stabilization Target:
$31.76
(+21.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 18, 2026 12:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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