CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares

SECONDARY SMELTING & REFINING OF NONFERROUS METALS
$34.07
-2.08 (-5.75%) ▼
5d: -0.55%
30d: +2.22%
90d: +37.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 5.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSTM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.99
Based on -5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.14
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $34.07, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.75 to $34.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.59, while resistance sits at $36.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: CSTM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $31.75 - $34.80
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.40)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $31.75 - $34.80
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.59
Resistance Level $36.99
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 4, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.31
Wall Street Target $37.40 (+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 24.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 446.9%
Profit Margin 4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.9% premium
PE vs Historical 14.3 vs 13.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.48 (+1%)
2-Year Target $36.80 (+2%)
3-Year Target $37.13 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) PE COMPRESSION $36.08 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: -15.2%) $40.36 (+12%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: -15.2%) $26.35 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: -15.2%) $22.40 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case $31.85 (-12%)
Analyst growth -19.3%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case $28.95 (-20%)
Market implied -19.3%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case $24.38 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 05, 2026 11:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:54 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ingrid Joerg SELL 4614 shares 2026-03-10
Jack Q Guo SELL 41717 shares 2026-03-10
Marcus Becker SELL 1113 shares 2026-03-10

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