CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares
$33.60
0.94 (2.86%)
▲
5d:
-0.25%
30d:
-4.78%
90d:
+31.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSTM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSTM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.99
Based on -5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $33.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.72 to $35.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 446.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.24, while resistance sits at $36.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.34 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.24, while resistance sits at $36.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.34 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.72 -
$35.25
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.34)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.72 -
$35.25
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.24
Resistance Level
$36.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.92
Wall Street Target
$37.34
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
446.9%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.88
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$31.11
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$30.36
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$32.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -15.2%)
$40.12
(+23%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: -15.2%)
$23.81
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: -15.2%)
$20.24
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.01
Bull Case
$30.72
(-6%)
Analyst growth -16.0%, PE expands to 12.2
Base Case
$27.93
(-15%)
Market implied -16.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$22.62
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$35.13
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 25, 2026 1:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
4614 shares
2026-03-10
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SELL
41717 shares
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2026-03-10
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