GS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GS - Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES
$1045.91
-9.27 (-0.88%) ▼
5d: -0.89%
30d: +4.46%
90d: +15.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 14, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 7.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1392.89
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$864.87
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GS is currently trading at $1045.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1023.47 to $1083.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $974.42, while resistance sits at $1098.36.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $1023.47 - $1083.46
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($1019.20)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1023.47 - $1083.46
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $974.42
Resistance Level $1098.36
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.61
Wall Street Target $1019.20 (-2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 24.2%
Profit Margin 29.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.0% premium
PE vs Historical 15.6 vs 14.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1066.83 (+2%)
2-Year Target $1088.16 (+4%)
3-Year Target $1109.93 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $1045.26 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.4%) $1964.78 (+88%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 10.4%) $1408.13 (+35%)
Bear: (PE: 13.3, Growth: 10.4%) $1196.91 (+14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $54.76
Bull Case $1420.25 (+36%)
Analyst growth 22.4%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case $1291.14 (+23%)
Market implied 22.4%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case $717.52 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:05 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alex S Golten SELL 1116 shares 2026-04-23
Alex S Golten SELL 1115 shares 2026-04-17
Maria Elvira Salazar BUY 2026-03-19

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