GS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GS - Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES
$1094.44
-11.93 (-1.08%) ▼
5d: +1.7%
30d: +10.75%
90d: +31.66%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your GS Gains
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 14, 2026 20d
Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 9.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GS is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1347.61
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$836.76
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GS is currently trading at $1094.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $982.50 to $1082.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.7) compared to its historical average (14.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1098.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: GS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $951.30. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $982.50 - $1082.19
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 13.1% above Wall St target ($951.30)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $982.50 - $1082.19
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $974.42
Resistance Level $1098.36
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.69
Wall Street Target $951.30 (-13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 24.2%
Profit Margin 29.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.6% premium
PE vs Historical 16.7 vs 14.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1144.78 (+5%)
2-Year Target $1197.44 (+9%)
3-Year Target $1252.53 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→15) PE COMPRESSION $1095.63 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.2%) $1912.87 (+75%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 10.2%) $1465.89 (+34%)
Bear: (PE: 14.2, Growth: 10.2%) $1246.01 (+14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $54.72
Bull Case $1445.43 (+31%)
Analyst growth 19.8%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case $1314.03 (+19%)
Market implied 19.8%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case $745.66 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alex S Golten SELL 1116 shares 2026-04-23
Alex S Golten SELL 1115 shares 2026-04-17
Maria Elvira Salazar BUY 2026-03-19

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