HRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HRB - H&R Block, Inc.

SERVICES-PERSONAL SERVICES
$53.68
0.64 (1.21%) β–²
5d: -0.45%
30d: +34.37%
90d: +41.67%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š MIXED SIGNALS: HRB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.51
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.33
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HRB is currently trading at $53.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.16 to $50.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.8% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.27, while resistance sits at $58.67.

Market Sentiment: HRB scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $41.16 - $50.53
Company Quality Score 25/100 (STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 11.9%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.2% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($50.67)
  • BEARISH: Market expects 6.8% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
  • WARNING: Composite score 25/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $41.16 - $50.53
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $45.27
Resistance Level $58.67
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.13
Wall Street Target $50.67 (-5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 4.5%
Profit Margin 18.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.8% premium
PE vs Historical 8.1 vs 6.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $57.33 (+7%)
2-Year Target $61.23 (+14%)
3-Year Target $65.39 (+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8β†’7) PE COMPRESSION $53.91 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.5%) $164.54 (+207%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 7.5%) $66.63 (+24%)
Bear: (PE: 6.7, Growth: 7.5%) $54.93 (+2%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.69
Bull Case $67.73 (+26%)
Analyst growth 16.1%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case $61.57 (+15%)
Market implied 16.1%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case $36.07 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 8:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:39 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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