HRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HRB - H&R Block, Inc.
$37.96
-0.62 (-1.61%)
▼
5d:
-1.86%
30d:
+22.14%
90d:
+23.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
Get Alerted When HRB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HRB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HRB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.53
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRB is currently trading at $37.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.41 to $39.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.5) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$32.41 -
$39.18
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.41 -
$39.18
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.43
Resistance Level
$40.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.52
Wall Street Target
$39.50
(+4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.2%
Profit Margin
18.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.04
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$38.11
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$38.19
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$183.29
(+383%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 12.8%)
$54.54
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 12.8%)
$46.36
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.59
Bull Case
$44.32
(+16%)
Analyst growth 4.2%, PE expands to 7.6
Base Case
$40.29
(+5%)
Market implied 4.2%, PE stable at 6.9
Bear Case
$26.30
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Personal Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Personal Services by analyst ratings.
Advanced HRB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HRB price and gamma walls.
