SCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCI - Service Corporation International
$68.77
-2.24 (-3.15%)
▼
5d:
-10.69%
30d:
-12.57%
90d:
-16.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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1 traders called SCI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SCI is down 10.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SCI is down 10.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.65
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.81
4.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCI is currently trading at $68.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.21 to $81.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.33 (+40.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.33 (+40.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$74.21 -
$81.90
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.1% below Wall St target ($96.33)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.21 -
$81.90
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.90
Resistance Level
$79.70
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.10
Wall Street Target
$96.33
(+40.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 18.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.85
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$61.15
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$57.67
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$68.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 10.3%)
$134.00
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 10.3%)
$92.36
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 10.3%)
$78.51
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.79
Bull Case
$101.77
(+33%)
Analyst growth 20.2%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$92.52
(+21%)
Market implied 20.2%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$52.36
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$81.97
(+19.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tony Coelho
SELL
7700 shares
2026-03-10
Tammy R Moore
SELL
5000 shares
2026-02-13
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