HSIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HSIC - Henry Schein Inc

WHOLESALE-MEDICAL, DENTAL & HOSPITAL EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
$88.50
0.04 (0.05%) ▲
5d: -1.41%
30d: +4.7%
90d: +20.41%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HSIC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.32
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.71
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HSIC is currently trading at $88.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.08 to $89.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HSIC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: HSIC scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.19 (+10.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $85.08 - $89.00
Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 27.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($98.19)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $85.08 - $89.00
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $87.47
Resistance Level $91.54
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.75
Wall Street Target $98.19 (+10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.1%
Profit Margin 3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.2% premium
PE vs Historical 14.8 vs 13.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $90.45 (+2%)
2-Year Target $92.44 (+4%)
3-Year Target $94.47 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→14) PE COMPRESSION $88.36 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.6%) $167.19 (+89%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 11.6%) $122.91 (+39%)
Bear: (PE: 12.5, Growth: 11.6%) $104.47 (+18%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.40
Bull Case $171.67 (+94%)
Analyst growth 76.4%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case $156.06 (+76%)
Market implied 76.4%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case $60.15 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30
Thomas C Popeck SELL 1355 shares 2026-03-19
Kurt P Kuehn SELL 2844 shares 2026-03-10

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