HSIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSIC - Henry Schein Inc
$85.75
0.58 (0.68%)
▲
5d:
+0.33%
30d:
+1.46%
90d:
+14.96%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSIC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSIC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.68
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSIC is currently trading at $85.75, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.83 to $87.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSIC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSIC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$82.83 -
$87.01
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($89.31)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.83 -
$87.01
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.19
Resistance Level
$87.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.52
Wall Street Target
$89.31
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.38
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$89.04
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$90.73
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$85.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.5%)
$165.19
(+93%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 10.5%)
$115.70
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 10.5%)
$98.35
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.29
Bull Case
$168.17
(+96%)
Analyst growth 79.5%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$152.88
(+78%)
Market implied 79.5%, PE stable at 25.9
Bear Case
$57.92
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Thomas C Popeck
SELL
1355 shares
2026-03-19
Kurt P Kuehn
SELL
2844 shares
2026-03-10
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