MCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCK - McKesson Corporation
$856.19
-9.32 (-1.08%)
▼
5d:
+1.82%
30d:
+11.47%
90d:
+5.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MCK is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MCK is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1293.40
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$803.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCK is currently trading at $856.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $765.97 to $837.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $808.56, while resistance sits at $907.00.
Market Sentiment: MCK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $808.56, while resistance sits at $907.00.
Market Sentiment: MCK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$765.97 -
$837.34
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MCK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($945.47)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$765.97 -
$837.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$808.56
Resistance Level
$907.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.15
Wall Street Target
$945.47
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.2%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$898.33
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$908.22
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$918.21
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$888.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 13.1%)
$1326.31
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.1%)
$1283.97
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.1%)
$1091.38
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $40.12
Bull Case
$1075.67
(+26%)
Analyst growth 9.9%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$977.89
(+14%)
Market implied 9.9%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$604.86
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Michele Lau
SELL
2725 shares
2026-03-02
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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