ISRG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ISRG - Intuitive Surgical Inc.
$356.83
19.33 (5.73%)
▲
5d:
+1.04%
30d:
-10.72%
90d:
-26.0%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ISRG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ISRG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$434.78
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$269.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ISRG is currently trading at $356.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $360.46 to $419.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.6) compared to its historical average (43.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ISRG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $328.57, while resistance sits at $405.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: ISRG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $490.47 (+47.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ISRG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $328.57, while resistance sits at $405.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: ISRG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $490.47 (+47.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$360.46 -
$419.41
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 47.7% below Wall St target ($490.47)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$360.46 -
$419.41
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$328.57
Resistance Level
$405.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.62
Wall Street Target
$490.47
(+47.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.5%
Profit Margin
28.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.6 vs 43.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$298.82
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$268.94
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$242.04
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→43)
$379.41
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.6, Growth: 11.4%)
$458.76
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$347.94
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.8, Growth: 11.4%)
$295.75
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.48
Bull Case
$531.19
(+49%)
Analyst growth 41.7%, PE expands to 44.2
Base Case
$482.90
(+35%)
Market implied 41.7%, PE stable at 40.2
Bear Case
$231.67
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.6 to 43.3
Stabilization Target:
$520.45
(+56.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 28, 2026 1:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ISRG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Myriam Curet
SELL
105 shares
2026-03-10
Mark Brosius
SELL
645 shares
2026-03-09
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