KEP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KEP - Korea Electric Power Corp

Electric Services
$11.28
-0.53 (-4.49%) ▼
5d: -8.29%
30d: -0.35%
90d: -12.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KEP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.06
Based on -2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.01
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KEP is currently trading at $11.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.51 to $12.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (3.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KEP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: KEP scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+33.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $11.51 - $12.26
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.0% below Wall St target ($15.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.9% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.51 - $12.26
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.28
Resistance Level $12.68
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.00
Wall Street Target $15.00 (+33.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 7.1%
Profit Margin 8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.9% premium
PE vs Historical 4.0 vs 3.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.06 (+7%)
2-Year Target $12.89 (+14%)
3-Year Target $13.78 (+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→3) PE COMPRESSION $11.36 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -9.4%) $42.13 (+274%)
Base: (SPY PE: 4.0, Growth: -9.4%) $8.39 (-26%)
Bear: (PE: 3.3, Growth: -9.4%) $6.91 (-39%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 2.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.32
Bull Case $8.47 (-25%)
Analyst growth -34.8%, PE expands to 3.0
Base Case $7.70 (-32%)
Market implied -34.8%, PE stable at 2.7
Bear Case $8.03 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 19, 2026 7:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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