Evergy (EVRG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EVRG - Evergy, Inc.

ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED
$84.92
1.77 (2.12%) ▲
5d: +4.1%
30d: +8.28%
90d: -2.6%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026 13d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EVRG is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.31
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.01
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EVRG is currently trading at $84.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.67 to $82.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EVRG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $78.67 - $82.16
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($89.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (41/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $78.67 - $82.16
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $79.62
Resistance Level $83.76
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.27
Wall Street Target $89.00 (+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 23.0%
Profit Margin 15.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.5% premium
PE vs Historical 18.3 vs 18.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $83.57 (+1%)
2-Year Target $83.98 (+1%)
3-Year Target $84.40 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→18) PE COMPRESSION $83.17 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.7%) $109.72 (+32%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 6.7%) $100.91 (+21%)
Bear: (PE: 15.5, Growth: 6.7%) $85.78 (+3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.93
Bull Case $105.57 (+27%)
Analyst growth 15.8%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case $95.98 (+15%)
Market implied 15.8%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case $56.34 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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