Is NEE stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, NEE is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NEE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of NEE stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for NEE to be between $76.39 and $80.15. The current price is $81.90.

What is the analyst price target for NEE?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for NEE is $95.37. This implies a potential upside of 16.4% from current levels.

NextEra Energy (NEE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NEE - NextEra Energy, Inc.

ELECTRIC SERVICES

$81.90

3.62 (4.62%) ▲

5d: +3.72%

30d: +6.34%

90d: -8.78%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your NEE Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 21, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $79.80 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026

Strength: 6.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NEE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$119.03

Based on 6.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$73.91

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NEE is currently trading at $81.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.39 to $80.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.7) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NEE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.37 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $76.39 - $80.15

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 53.3%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($95.37)
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $76.39 - $80.15

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $76.87

Resistance Level $82.19

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.71

Wall Street Target $95.37 (+16.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 53.1%

Profit Margin 32.4%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 18.7 vs 20.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $80.02 (-2%)

2-Year Target $78.18 (-5%)

3-Year Target $76.38 (-7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→20) $81.64 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.7%) $111.51 (+36%)

Base: (SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 8.7%) $105.05 (+28%)

Bear: (PE: 15.9, Growth: 8.7%) $89.30 (+9%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 14.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.55

Bull Case $67.91 (-17%)

Analyst growth -21.1%, PE expands to 15.5

Base Case $61.74 (-25%)

Market implied -21.1%, PE stable at 14.1

Bear Case $53.23 (-35%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.7 to 20.0

Stabilization Target: $87.54 (+6.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +6.9%

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Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM

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