NEE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEE - NextEra Energy, Inc.
$83.43
-0.63 (-0.75%)
▼
5d:
+1.94%
30d:
-1.38%
90d:
-2.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $83.43 · last confirmed Sep 4, 2026
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NEE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NEE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.88
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEE is currently trading at $83.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.45 to $87.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NEE scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.39 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NEE scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.39 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$83.45 -
$87.18
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($98.39)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.45 -
$87.18
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.75
Resistance Level
$84.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.01
Wall Street Target
$98.39
(+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
53.1%
Profit Margin
32.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 20.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.43
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$79.47
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$77.57
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$83.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.4%)
$113.13
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 8.4%)
$106.31
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 8.4%)
$90.36
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.50
Bull Case
$90.18
(+8%)
Analyst growth -2.5%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$81.98
(-2%)
Market implied -2.5%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$57.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 20.4
Stabilization Target:
$89.53
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 05, 2026 6:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rick Larsen
BUY
2026-04-07
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-19
Richard McCormick
SELL
2026-03-19
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