NEE NextEra Energy, Inc. ELECTRIC SERVICES Best Electric Utilities Stocks 2026 →

NextEra Energy (NEE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$85.99
-0.28 (-0.32%) ▼
5d: -2.78% 30d: +9.93% 90d: -0.02%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
29/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$77.82 – $85.23
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.7x FAIR
vs 20.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$94.00
+9.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$81.78 / $90.04
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NEE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $79.80 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026

Strength: 8.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$118.70
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.70
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NEE is currently trading at $85.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.82 to $85.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.6) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 93.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NEE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $81.78, while resistance sits at $90.04.

Market Sentiment: NEE scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $77.82 - $85.23
Company Quality Score 29/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $77.82 - $85.23
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $81.78
Resistance Level $90.04
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($94.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.65
Wall Street Target $94.00 (+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 93.2%
Profit Margin 40.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.7 vs 20.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $85.47 (-1%)
2-Year Target $84.96 (-1%)
3-Year Target $84.45 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→20) $85.94 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.6%) $111.31 (+29%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 8.6%) $110.16 (+28%)
Bear: (PE: 16.7, Growth: 8.6%) $93.63 (+9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.55
Bull Case $74.81 (-13%)
Analyst growth -21.2%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case $68.01 (-21%)
Market implied -21.2%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case $58.66 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.7 to 20.0
Stabilization Target: $87.51 (+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.8%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NEE)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Utility stocks, represented by $NEE, are experiencing slight positive sentiment due to an expected inverse correlation to long-term bond yields, which are attempting to rebound after a recent pullback following hot CPI data.
Key Retail Themes: Utility stocks and bond yields correlation Reaction to CPI data
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:46 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced NEE Option Strategies

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Part A: Deep-Dive NEE Research Pages
NEE Technical Chart NEE Price Prediction NEE Intrinsic Value DCF NEE Earnings Date NEE Investment Advisor NEE Fair Price Analyzer NEE Options Chain NEE Options Advisor NEE Options Analysis NEE Competitors
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