Matsons (MATX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATX - Matsons, Inc.
$231.11
5.61 (2.49%)
▲
5d:
+2.87%
30d:
+5.91%
90d:
+13.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MATX is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MATX is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$238.85
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$148.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATX is currently trading at $231.11, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $221.18 to $232.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $236.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATX scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $261.25 (+13.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $236.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATX scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $261.25 (+13.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$221.18 -
$232.16
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($261.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 10% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$221.18 -
$232.16
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$218.10
Resistance Level
$236.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.03
Wall Street Target
$261.25
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.2%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$241.28
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$251.90
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$262.98
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$230.51
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 2.7%)
$364.39
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 2.7%)
$250.65
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 2.7%)
$213.06
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.83
Bull Case
$275.48
(+19%)
Analyst growth 11.1%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$250.43
(+8%)
Market implied 11.1%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$153.34
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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