Matsons (MATX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATX - Matsons, Inc.
$230.18
2.19 (0.96%)
▲
5d:
+3.56%
30d:
+7.34%
90d:
+15.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MATX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MATX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$247.87
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$153.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATX is currently trading at $230.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $211.69 to $225.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $232.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $261.67 (+13.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $232.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $261.67 (+13.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$211.69 -
$225.73
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($261.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$211.69 -
$225.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$217.65
Resistance Level
$232.42
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.78
Wall Street Target
$261.67
(+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.2%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$239.62
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$249.44
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$259.67
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$229.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.0%)
$379.17
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 4.0%)
$259.11
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 4.0%)
$220.24
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.81
Bull Case
$282.79
(+23%)
Analyst growth 12.8%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$257.08
(+12%)
Market implied 12.8%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$155.03
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 3:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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