Matsons (MATX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATX - Matsons, Inc.
$228.94
1.46 (0.64%)
▲
5d:
-2.58%
30d:
+1.83%
90d:
+11.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MATX is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MATX is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$242.16
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$150.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATX is currently trading at $228.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $224.70 to $235.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $224.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $276.75 (+21.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $224.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $276.75 (+21.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$224.70 -
$235.31
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($276.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$224.70 -
$235.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$224.77
Resistance Level
$240.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.53
Wall Street Target
$276.75
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.2%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$234.08
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$240.87
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$247.85
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$227.07
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.1%)
$355.69
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 2.1%)
$242.40
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 2.1%)
$206.04
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.73
Bull Case
$295.04
(+30%)
Analyst growth 14.1%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$268.22
(+18%)
Market implied 14.1%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$159.85
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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