MATX
Matsons, Inc.
WATER TRANSPORTATION
Matsons (MATX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$212.64
+0.61 (+0.29%)
▲
5d:
-0.58%
30d:
-9.73%
90d:
-2.14%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
64/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$215.89 – $233.91
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.3x
FAIR
vs 12.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$292.50
+38.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$202.02 / $232.82
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Get Alerted When MATX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$248.64
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$154.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATX is currently trading at $212.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $215.89 to $233.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 64.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $202.02, while resistance sits at $232.82.
Market Sentiment: MATX scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $292.50 (+38.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $202.02, while resistance sits at $232.82.
Market Sentiment: MATX scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $292.50 (+38.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$215.89 -
$233.91
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$215.89 -
$233.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$202.02
Resistance Level
$232.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.0% below Wall St target ($292.50)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.33
Wall Street Target
$292.50
(+38.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
64.2%
Profit Margin
14.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$205.46
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$199.09
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$192.92
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$212.80
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.5%)
$355.03
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: -1.5%)
$202.58
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: -1.5%)
$172.19
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.54
Bull Case
$242.90
(+15%)
Analyst growth 6.7%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$220.81
(+4%)
Market implied 6.7%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$140.76
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$233.88
(+10.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.3%
Share MATX Analysis
Share this live MATX analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MATX)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Matson (MATX) reported Q3 earnings and revenues surpassing estimates, raising full-year outlook, and achieving significant earnings surprises in recent quarters.
Key Retail Themes:
strong earnings report
positive revenue surprise
raised full-year outlook
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:42 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Marine Shipping Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Marine Shipping by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KEX
Kirby Corporation |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$175 | 49 HOLD |
|
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers Corp |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$34 | 57 HOLD |
|
GNK
Genco Shipping & Trading… |
BUY
6 analysts |
$29 | 59 HOLD |
|
CCEC
Capital Clean Energy Car… |
BUY
6 analysts |
$26 | 49 HOLD |
|
ZIM
ZIM Integrated Shipping … |
SELL
7 analysts |
$28 | 63 BUY |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive MATX Research Pages
