MATX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATX - Matsons, Inc.
$205.15
0.38 (0.19%)
▲
5d:
+0.3%
30d:
+6.06%
90d:
+19.78%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$229.34
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATX is currently trading at $205.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $192.50 to $202.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $197.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.33 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $197.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.33 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$192.50 -
$202.79
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($234.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with -3.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$192.50 -
$202.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$179.21
Resistance Level
$197.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.34
Wall Street Target
$234.33
(+14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.1%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$212.54
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$220.19
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$228.11
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$205.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.9%)
$386.64
(+89%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 4.9%)
$236.89
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 4.9%)
$201.36
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.47
Bull Case
$257.08
(+25%)
Analyst growth 14.1%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$233.70
(+14%)
Market implied 14.1%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$139.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher A Scott
SELL
2509 shares
2026-03-11
John P Lauer
SELL
8603 shares
2026-03-05
Kevin L Stuck
SELL
2524 shares
2026-03-03
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