MDLZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDLZ - Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
$61.00
-0.42 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
+3.69%
30d:
-1.85%
90d:
+6.89%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
8d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDLZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDLZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.08
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDLZ is currently trading at $61.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.08 to $62.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.82, while resistance sits at $63.04.
Market Sentiment: MDLZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.27 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.82, while resistance sits at $63.04.
Market Sentiment: MDLZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.27 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$59.08 -
$62.21
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.27)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.08 -
$62.21
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.82
Resistance Level
$63.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.07
Wall Street Target
$67.27
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.3%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.43
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$61.86
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$62.29
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$61.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 10.7%)
$96.13
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 10.7%)
$82.68
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 10.7%)
$70.28
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case
$112.91
(+85%)
Analyst growth 67.1%, PE expands to 33.5
Base Case
$102.65
(+68%)
Market implied 67.1%, PE stable at 30.4
Bear Case
$41.77
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 19, 2026 12:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDLZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Gustavo Carlos Valle
SELL
3000 shares
2026-02-13
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