MDLZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDLZ - Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
$60.79
-0.41 (-0.67%)
▼
5d:
+1.11%
30d:
-2.35%
90d:
+5.57%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDLZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDLZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.70
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDLZ is currently trading at $60.79, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.69 to $62.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.21 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.21 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$60.69 -
$62.57
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.21)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.69 -
$62.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.95
Resistance Level
$63.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.96
Wall Street Target
$67.21
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.3%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.09
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$61.40
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$61.71
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.9%)
$100.46
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 10.9%)
$82.83
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 10.9%)
$70.41
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case
$112.81
(+86%)
Analyst growth 67.6%, PE expands to 33.3
Base Case
$102.56
(+69%)
Market implied 67.6%, PE stable at 30.3
Bear Case
$41.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 27, 2026 5:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDLZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Gustavo Carlos Valle
SELL
3000 shares
2026-02-13
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