MOH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOH - Molina Healthcare, Inc.
$196.56
-0.86 (-0.44%)
▼
5d:
-2.63%
30d:
+8.44%
90d:
+45.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
27d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
Get Alerted When MOH Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MOH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MOH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$312.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$194.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOH is currently trading at $196.56, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $180.44 to $197.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.4) compared to its historical average (19.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $172.94, while resistance sits at $204.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (11th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $172.94, while resistance sits at $204.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (11th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$180.44 -
$197.95
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
11th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 11th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($190.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.9% growth with -4.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$180.44 -
$197.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$15.09
(7.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$172.94
Resistance Level
$204.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.35
Wall Street Target
$190.25
(-3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.0%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.9% premium
PE vs Historical
24.4 vs 19.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$210.12
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$224.62
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$240.12
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$196.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.3, Growth: 56.5%)
$663.39
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 56.5%)
$593.44
(+202%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 56.5%)
$504.42
(+157%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 36.76 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.35
Bull Case
$237.35
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 38.6
Base Case
$196.56
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.8
Bear Case
$150.37
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 33.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
Top Rated Healthcare Plans Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Healthcare Plans by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CVS
CVS Health Corp |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$105 | 64 BUY |
|
UNH
UnitedHealth Group Incor… |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$410 | 55 HOLD |
|
CI
Cigna Corp |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$341 | 55 HOLD |
|
ELV
Elevance Health Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$416 | 58 HOLD |
|
HUM
Humana Inc |
HOLD
26 analysts |
$302 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced MOH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MOH price and gamma walls.
