What is the fair value of CNC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CNC to be between $63.27 and $66.97. The current price is $65.02.

What is the analyst price target for CNC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CNC is $71.67. This implies a potential upside of 10.2% from current levels.

CNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNC - Centene Corporation

HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS

$65.02

0.88 (1.37%) ▲

5d: -3.63%

30d: +2.01%

90d: +12.55%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 27, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $64.79 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026

Strength: 5.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: CNC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$91.01

Based on 6.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$56.51

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNC is currently trading at $65.02, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.27 to $66.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.67 (+10.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $63.27 - $66.97

Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 70.0%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($71.67)
WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $63.27 - $66.97

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $63.47

Resistance Level $67.86

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.24

Wall Street Target $71.67 (+10.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 18.3%

Profit Margin -2.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -0.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 12.2 vs 12.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $64.43 (-1%)

2-Year Target $63.85 (-2%)

3-Year Target $63.28 (-3%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→13) $65.15 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.7%) $137.02 (+111%)

Base: (SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 8.7%) $83.56 (+29%)

Bear: (PE: 10.4, Growth: 8.7%) $71.02 (+9%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 12.6

Stabilization Target: $66.94 (+2.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +2.9%

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Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 PM

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Advanced CNC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNC price and gamma walls.

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