NMM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMM - Navios Maritime Partners L.P.
$88.28
-0.02 (-0.02%)
▼
5d:
-1.02%
30d:
+0.39%
90d:
+11.61%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 17, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.92
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMM is currently trading at $88.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.71 to $93.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.7) compared to its historical average (5.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 146.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NMM scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NMM scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$88.71 -
$93.56
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($103.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 62/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$88.71 -
$93.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.29
Resistance Level
$97.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.70
Wall Street Target
$103.00
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
146.1%
Profit Margin
30.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.7 vs 5.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.93
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$81.70
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$78.59
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$88.60
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.2%)
$397.81
(+351%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.7, Growth: 2.2%)
$94.17
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 2.2%)
$80.05
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 5.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.29
Bull Case
$119.28
(+35%)
Analyst growth 22.8%, PE expands to 6.4
Base Case
$108.44
(+23%)
Market implied 22.8%, PE stable at 5.8
Bear Case
$60.04
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.7 to 5.3
Stabilization Target:
$99.52
(+12.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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