NTAP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NTAP - NetApp, Inc

COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES
$181.08
5.44 (3.10%) β–²
5d: +26.86%
30d: +63.22%
90d: +81.9%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 8.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: NTAP is 19.8% above its trading range ($151.18). Market expects 17.9% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.48
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.09
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NTAP is currently trading at $181.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.62 to $151.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.2) compared to its historical average (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NTAP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $118.65, while resistance sits at $192.83. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: NTAP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $105.62 - $151.18
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 49.0%

Protect Your Profits

NTAP is technically overbought (RSI 88). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+19.8% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($163.07)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 17.9% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 19.8% overvaluation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $105.62 - $151.18
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $118.65
Resistance Level $192.83
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.22
Wall Street Target $163.07 (-9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 23.5%
Profit Margin 18.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +17.9% premium
PE vs Historical 21.2 vs 12.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +17.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $213.49 (+18%)
2-Year Target $251.71 (+39%)
3-Year Target $296.76 (+64%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21β†’13) PE COMPRESSION $180.39 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 6.9%) $228.62 (+26%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 6.9%) $221.45 (+22%)
Bear: (PE: 12.9, Growth: 6.9%) $134.61 (-26%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.12
Bull Case $218.91 (+54%)
Analyst growth 39.4%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case $199.01 (+40%)
Market implied 39.4%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case $97.06 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth M O'callahan SELL 1000 shares 2026-04-10
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23
Elizabeth M O'callahan SELL 1000 shares 2026-03-10

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