TWLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TWLO - Twilio Inc.
$218.24
3.68 (1.72%)
▲
5d:
+4.38%
30d:
+5.38%
90d:
+85.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TWLO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TWLO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$262.98
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TWLO is currently trading at $218.24, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $191.25 to $217.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.8) compared to its historical average (24.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWLO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $180.91, while resistance sits at $238.48.
Market Sentiment: TWLO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWLO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $180.91, while resistance sits at $238.48.
Market Sentiment: TWLO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$191.25 -
$217.61
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($205.24)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 10.3% growth expectation is conservative given 375% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$191.25 -
$217.61
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$180.91
Resistance Level
$238.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.84
Wall Street Target
$205.24
(-6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
375.0%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.3% premium
PE vs Historical
32.8 vs 24.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$240.72
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$265.51
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$292.86
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$218.49
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.8, Growth: 16.3%)
$343.68
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.3%)
$227.93
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 16.3%)
$193.74
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 38.31 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.60
Bull Case
$259.08
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 40.2
Base Case
$214.56
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 38.3
Bear Case
$164.14
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 34.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TWLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Erika Rottenberg
SELL
1800 shares
2026-04-21
Khozema Shipchandler
SELL
15715 shares
2026-04-06
Aidan Viggiano
SELL
9389 shares
2026-04-02
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Advanced TWLO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TWLO price and gamma walls.
