TWLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TWLO - Twilio Inc.
$197.35
6.41 (3.36%)
▲
5d:
+3.08%
30d:
-5.7%
90d:
+33.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
Get Alerted When TWLO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TWLO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TWLO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$268.37
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$166.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TWLO is currently trading at $197.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $189.21 to $212.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.7) compared to its historical average (25.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWLO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $179.65, while resistance sits at $212.79. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWLO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $179.65, while resistance sits at $212.79. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$189.21 -
$212.15
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($210.72)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.0% growth expectation is conservative given 375% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$189.21 -
$212.15
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$179.65
Resistance Level
$212.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.69
Wall Street Target
$210.72
(+6.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
375.0%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
29.7 vs 25.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$209.19
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$221.74
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$235.05
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$197.89
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.7, Growth: 16.3%)
$310.54
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 16.3%)
$216.80
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 16.3%)
$184.28
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 33.44 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.90
Bull Case
$238.30
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.1
Base Case
$197.35
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.4
Bear Case
$150.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TWLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Erika Rottenberg
SELL
1800 shares
2026-04-21
Khozema Shipchandler
SELL
15715 shares
2026-04-06
Aidan Viggiano
SELL
9389 shares
2026-04-02
Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CYBR
CyberArk Software Ltd |
STRONG BUY
38 analysts |
$475 | 52 HOLD |
|
CFLT
Confluent Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$31 | 63 BUY |
|
XYZ
Block, Inc |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$93 | 60 HOLD |
|
CRWD
Crowdstrike Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$193 | 55 HOLD |
|
S
SentinelOne Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$20 | 48 HOLD |
Advanced TWLO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TWLO price and gamma walls.
