Twilio (TWLO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$213.55
-5.93 (-2.70%)
▼
5d:
+6.26%
30d:
-21.23%
90d:
-10.35%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect TWLO Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$217.38 – $277.94
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
32.0x
FAIR
vs 28.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$269.99
+23.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$180.00 / $247.17
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: TWLO is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 30, 2026 at $199.87 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$247.50
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$153.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TWLO is currently trading at $213.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $217.38 to $277.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.0) compared to its historical average (28.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWLO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $180.00, while resistance sits at $247.16.
Market Sentiment: TWLO scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $269.99 (+23.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWLO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $180.00, while resistance sits at $247.16.
Market Sentiment: TWLO scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $269.99 (+23.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$217.38 -
$277.94
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$217.38 -
$277.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$180.00
Resistance Level
$247.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding TWLO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.0% below Wall St target ($269.99)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.00
Wall Street Target
$269.99
(+23.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
345.1%
Profit Margin
21.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
32.0 vs 28.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$228.70
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$238.30
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$248.31
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$219.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.0, Growth: 11.3%)
$302.76
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$187.88
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$159.70
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 26.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.96
Bull Case
$203.01
(-8%)
Analyst growth -13.8%, PE expands to 29.6
Base Case
$184.55
(-16%)
Market implied -13.8%, PE stable at 26.9
Bear Case
$145.66
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TWLO)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Guava, a developer platform for building voice agents, announced new features including a WebRTC SDK, SIP calling, optimized phone numbers, and warm transfers, making it easier for developers to connect agents to browsers and phone systems.
Key Retail Themes:
new features for Guava platform
easier integration with browsers and phone systems
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TWLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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