Twilio (TWLO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TWLO - Twilio Inc.
$227.35
-3.78 (-1.64%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.46%
30d:
-7.81%
90d:
+10.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $223.82 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 7.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TWLO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TWLO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$263.32
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TWLO is currently trading at $227.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $211.95 to $244.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.5) compared to its historical average (26.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWLO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $221.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.10 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWLO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $221.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.10 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$211.95 -
$244.36
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TWLO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($256.10)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.6% growth expectation is conservative given 4672% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$211.95 -
$244.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$221.86
Resistance Level
$243.98
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.50
Wall Street Target
$256.10
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4671.5%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.6% premium
PE vs Historical
33.5 vs 26.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$246.90
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$268.14
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$291.20
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34â26)
PE COMPRESSION
$227.77
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.5, Growth: 14.5%)
$341.02
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.5%)
$205.34
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 14.5%)
$174.54
(-23%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 31.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.23
Bull Case
$238.68
(+5%)
Analyst growth -6.1%, PE expands to 35.2
Base Case
$216.98
(-5%)
Market implied -6.1%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case
$157.17
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 2:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TWLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
1800 shares
2026-04-21
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15715 shares
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9389 shares
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Advanced TWLO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TWLO price and gamma walls.
