TWLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TWLO - Twilio Inc.
$225.30
5.41 (2.46%)
â˛
5d:
-5.42%
30d:
+21.74%
90d:
+22.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TWLO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TWLO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$263.50
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TWLO is currently trading at $225.30, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $190.85 to $234.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.2) compared to its historical average (25.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWLO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $215.79, while resistance sits at $258.35.
Market Sentiment: TWLO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $250.08 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWLO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $215.79, while resistance sits at $258.35.
Market Sentiment: TWLO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $250.08 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$190.85 -
$234.10
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TWLO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($250.08)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 9.0% growth expectation is conservative given 4672% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$190.85 -
$234.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$215.79
Resistance Level
$258.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.17
Wall Street Target
$250.08
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4671.5%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.0% premium
PE vs Historical
33.2 vs 25.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$245.58
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$267.68
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$291.77
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33â26)
PE COMPRESSION
$225.17
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.2, Growth: 14.5%)
$338.37
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 14.5%)
$204.72
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 14.5%)
$174.02
(-23%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 30.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.23
Bull Case
$227.22
(+1%)
Analyst growth -6.1%, PE expands to 33.5
Base Case
$206.56
(-8%)
Market implied -6.1%, PE stable at 30.4
Bear Case
$149.53
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TWLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Erika Rottenberg
SELL
1800 shares
2026-04-21
Khozema Shipchandler
SELL
15715 shares
2026-04-06
Aidan Viggiano
SELL
9389 shares
2026-04-02
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Advanced TWLO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TWLO price and gamma walls.
