CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE Best Software Stocks 2026 →

CrowdStrike (CRWD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$226.61
-3.26 (-1.42%) ▼
5d: +4.48% 30d: -7.34% 90d: +5.94%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (55%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$228.56 – $264.80
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
46.9x STRETCHED
vs 34.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$249.68
+10.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$213.22 / $253.61
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: CRWD trades at premium valuation expecting 11.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $217.50 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$235.40
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.17
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRWD is currently trading at $226.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $228.56 to $264.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 46.9) compared to its historical average (34.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRWD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $213.22, while resistance sits at $253.61.

Market Sentiment: CRWD scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $249.68 (+10.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $228.56 - $264.80
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $228.56 - $264.80
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $213.22
Resistance Level $253.61
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($249.68)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.2% growth expectation is conservative given 533% recent growth

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 46.87
Wall Street Target $249.68 (+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 533.3%
Profit Margin 0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +11.2% premium
PE vs Historical 46.9 vs 34.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +11.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $251.99 (+11%)
2-Year Target $280.21 (+24%)
3-Year Target $311.60 (+38%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 47→34) PE COMPRESSION $226.72 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 46.9, Growth: 30.1%) $498.85 (+120%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 30.1%) $211.40 (-7%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 30.1%) $179.69 (-21%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (147x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (47x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 147.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.54
Bull Case $273.63 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 154.4
Base Case $226.61 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 147.1
Bear Case $173.36 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 132.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CRWD)

Bearish 4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: The latest article identifies Palo Alto Networks as one of the top 3 AI security stocks with earnings growth over 29%, highlighting the company's focus on AI-led protection and expansion of security budgets.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive CRWD Research Pages
CRWD Technical Chart CRWD Price Prediction CRWD Intrinsic Value DCF CRWD Earnings Date Why is CRWD Moving Today? CRWD Investment Advisor CRWD Fair Price Analyzer CRWD Options Chain CRWD Options Advisor CRWD Options Analysis CRWD Competitors
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