CRWD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRWD - CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$675.44
-9.42 (-1.38%) ▼
5d: -1.08%
30d: +3.9%
90d: +65.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 03, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRWD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$235.40
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.17
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRWD is currently trading at $675.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $626.69 to $721.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 139.7) compared to its historical average (101.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRWD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $617.74, while resistance sits at $712.18.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $626.69 - $721.06
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($712.37)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.1% growth expectation is conservative given 533% recent growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $626.69 - $721.06
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $617.74
Resistance Level $712.18
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 139.69
Wall Street Target $712.37 (+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 533.3%
Profit Margin -0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +11.1% premium
PE vs Historical 139.7 vs 101.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +11.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $750.41 (+11%)
2-Year Target $833.71 (+23%)
3-Year Target $926.25 (+37%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 140→102) PE COMPRESSION $675.01 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 139.7, Growth: 30.1%) $1486.89 (+120%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 30.1%) $231.83 (-66%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 30.1%) $197.06 (-71%)
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
George Kurtz SELL 1661 shares 2026-04-22
George Kurtz SELL 839 shares 2026-04-22
George Kurtz SELL 2500 shares 2026-04-20

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