PM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PM - Philip Morris International Inc.
$175.94
2.28 (1.31%)
▲
5d:
-3.35%
30d:
+3.99%
90d:
-1.73%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$238.59
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$148.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PM is currently trading at $175.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $168.04 to $187.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.2) is in line with its historical norms (19.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $170.00, while resistance sits at $193.05.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $170.00, while resistance sits at $193.05.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$168.04 -
$187.63
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($193.14)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$168.04 -
$187.63
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$170.00
Resistance Level
$193.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.25
Wall Street Target
$193.14
(+9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.3%
Profit Margin
26.7%
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 19.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$175.94
(0%)
2-Year Target
$175.94
(0%)
3-Year Target
$175.94
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$175.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 8.7%)
$257.13
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 8.7%)
$225.91
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 8.7%)
$192.03
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.10
Bull Case
$257.62
(+44%)
Analyst growth 28.7%, PE expands to 28.2
Base Case
$234.20
(+31%)
Market implied 28.7%, PE stable at 25.6
Bear Case
$123.79
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-20
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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