TSN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSN - Tyson Foods, Inc.
$57.96
-2.69 (-4.44%)
▼
5d:
+0.89%
30d:
-0.8%
90d:
-9.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.15
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSN is currently trading at $57.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.93 to $59.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3602.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $56.19, while resistance sits at $63.03. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: TSN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.50 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $56.19, while resistance sits at $63.03. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: TSN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.50 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$56.93 -
$59.48
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($68.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.93 -
$59.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.19
Resistance Level
$63.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.93
Wall Street Target
$68.50
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3602.2%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.40
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$54.87
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$53.39
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$57.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.1%)
$127.39
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 11.1%)
$79.49
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 11.1%)
$67.57
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.26
Bull Case
$133.43
(+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.0
Base Case
$121.30
(+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.1
Bear Case
$41.24
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$62.73
(+8.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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