VAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VAL - Valaris Limited
$77.89
1.07 (1.39%)
▲
5d:
+4.61%
30d:
+5.93%
90d:
-24.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$200.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.30
37.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAL is currently trading at $77.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.52 to $78.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 446.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.79, while resistance sits at $80.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.27. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.79, while resistance sits at $80.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.27. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$74.52 -
$78.76
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 12.4% above Wall St target ($67.27)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.52 -
$78.76
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.79
Resistance Level
$80.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.61
Wall Street Target
$67.27
(-12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
446.6%
Profit Margin
45.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.68
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$63.20
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$57.32
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$76.70
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 108.8%)
$506.50
(+559%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 108.8%)
$259.27
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 108.8%)
$220.38
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.15
Bull Case
$44.57
(-42%)
Analyst growth -48.8%, PE expands to 6.2
Base Case
$40.52
(-47%)
Market implied -48.8%, PE stable at 5.6
Bear Case
$53.85
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$102.80
(+33.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 10:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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