VAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VAL - Valaris Limited
$75.60
-2.94 (-3.74%)
▼
5d:
-8.52%
30d:
-25.27%
90d:
-22.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$212.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$131.93
42.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAL is currently trading at $75.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.13 to $101.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 446.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: VAL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $69.82. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: VAL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $69.82. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$82.13 -
$101.14
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BEARISH: Trading 11.1% above Wall St target ($69.82)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.13 -
$101.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.48
Resistance Level
$95.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.80
Wall Street Target
$69.82
(-11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
446.6%
Profit Margin
45.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 15.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.69
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$63.62
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$57.26
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$79.54
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 107.7%)
$534.68
(+581%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 107.7%)
$265.07
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 107.7%)
$225.31
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.15
Bull Case
$44.65
(-43%)
Analyst growth -48.6%, PE expands to 6.1
Base Case
$40.59
(-48%)
Market implied -48.6%, PE stable at 5.6
Bear Case
$53.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$109.11
(+38.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 10:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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