Xometry (XMTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

XMTR - Xometry, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$99.53
2.35 (2.42%) ▲
5d: +17.05%
30d: +19.74%
90d: +8.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: XMTR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.79
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: XMTR is currently trading at $99.53, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.63 to $93.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 77.6) compared to its historical average (64.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, XMTR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $100.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.18 (+11.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $85.63 - $93.63
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 76.2%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($111.18)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.2% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $85.63 - $93.63
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $83.00
Resistance Level $100.72
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 77.56
Wall Street Target $111.18 (+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 41.1%
Profit Margin -3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.2% premium
PE vs Historical 77.6 vs 64.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $105.70 (+6%)
2-Year Target $112.25 (+13%)
3-Year Target $119.21 (+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 78→65) PE COMPRESSION $99.60 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 77.6, Growth: 82.2%) $335.91 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 82.2%) $87.71 (-12%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 82.2%) $74.55 (-25%)
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Last updated: September 22, 2026 3:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Emily Rollins SELL 1000 shares 2026-04-01

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