Target Price Playground
AAPL
$337.02
๐ข
AAPL IV: 25.8% โ LOW
(-38.8% vs 30d avg of 42.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $375 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
57d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $335 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.89 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AAPL hits $375 by Nov 20: the long call returns +$2,411 (151.7%) on $1,589 risked, vs +$3,798 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $33,702. Options give 13.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (57 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AAPL is at $375. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AAPL hits $375 by Nov 20
+$2,411
+151.7% on $1,589 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,589
Premium paid
Break-even
$350.89
+4.12% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
29%
IV-implied, 57d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.33 / -13.86 / 52.51
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AAPL Price | Today | Oct 13 | Nov 1 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $270 (-20%) | -$1,561 | -$1,583 | -$1,589 | -$1,589 |
| $286 (-15%) | -$1,472 | -$1,547 | -$1,585 | -$1,589 |
| $303 (-10%) | -$1,234 | -$1,399 | -$1,542 | -$1,589 |
| $320 (-5%) | -$747 | -$1,004 | -$1,305 | -$1,589 |
| $330 (-2%) | -$305 | -$596 | -$961 | -$1,589 |
| $337 (0%) โ spot | +$53 | -$245 | -$623 | -$1,387 |
| $344 (+2%) | +$462 | +$166 | -$199 | -$713 |
| $354 (+5%) | +$1,161 | +$887 | +$574 | +$298 |
| $371 (+10%) | +$2,513 | +$2,301 | +$2,101 | +$1,983 |
| $375 (+11%) โ target | +$2,886 | +$2,690 | +$2,514 | +$2,411 |
| $388 (+15%) | +$4,029 | +$3,876 | +$3,752 | +$3,668 |
| $404 (+20%) | +$5,637 | +$5,524 | +$5,432 | +$5,353 |
Uses AAPL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.