Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder LEAP Simulator
BKR
$55.23
🟢
BKR IV: 33.7% — LOW (-28.4% vs 30d avg of 47.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $58 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

📋 Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

🎯 Target

48d from today

⚙️ Legs

SHORT PUT · $51 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $1.06 · Δ -0.24
P&L at Expiry Now $55 Target $58 $39 $55 $72
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target

If BKR hits $58 by Dec 18: the cash-secured put returns +$106 (2.1%) on $-106 credit (max loss $4,994), vs +$277 (5.0%) for 100 shares on $5,523. Options give 0.4× capital efficiency.

📅 Expiry

Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if BKR is at $58. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

📊 Projected Return

P&L if BKR hits $58 by Dec 18
+$106
+2.1% on $4,994 max loss
Max Profit
+$106
If the stock ≥ $51 at expiry
Max Loss
−$4,994
If stock → $0 after assignment
Break-even
$49.94
-9.58% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
23.55 / 2.14 / -6.16
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
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📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates

BKR Price Today Nov 16 Dec 2 Dec 18 (exp)
$44 (-20%) -$592 -$578 -$570 -$576
$47 (-15%) -$378 -$348 -$316 -$299
$50 (-10%) -$208 -$167 -$112 -$23
$52 (-5%) -$83 -$40 +$17 +$106
$54 (-2%) -$29 +$11 +$60 +$106
$55 (0%) ← spot -$0 +$36 +$78 +$106
$56 (+2%) +$23 +$56 +$89 +$106
$58 (+5%) ← target +$50 +$76 +$99 +$106
$61 (+10%) +$79 +$95 +$105 +$106
$64 (+15%) +$93 +$102 +$106 +$106
$66 (+20%) +$100 +$105 +$106 +$106
Uses BKR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.