Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder LEAP Simulator
FAST
$51.91
🟢
FAST IV: 25.3% — LOW (-42.3% vs 30d avg of 43.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $55 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

📋 Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

🎯 Target

48d from today

⚙️ Legs

SHORT PUT · $48 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $0.53 · Δ -0.18
P&L at Expiry Now $52 Target $55 $36 $52 $67
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target

If FAST hits $55 by Dec 18: the cash-secured put returns +$53 (1.1%) on $-53 credit (max loss $4,747), vs +$309 (6.0%) for 100 shares on $5,191. Options give 0.2× capital efficiency.

📅 Expiry

Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FAST is at $55. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

📊 Projected Return

P&L if FAST hits $55 by Dec 18
+$53
+1.1% on $4,747 max loss
Max Profit
+$53
If the stock ≥ $48 at expiry
Max Loss
−$4,747
If stock → $0 after assignment
Break-even
$47.47
-8.55% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
54%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
18.24 / 1.28 / -4.98
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
💾 Log in to save 📊 My Saved Strategies

📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates

FAST Price Today Nov 16 Dec 2 Dec 18 (exp)
$42 (-20%) -$581 -$581 -$585 -$594
$44 (-15%) -$361 -$347 -$334 -$335
$47 (-10%) -$186 -$159 -$124 -$75
$49 (-5%) -$68 -$39 -$1 +$53
$51 (-2%) -$22 +$3 +$32 +$53
$52 (0%) ← spot -$0 +$21 +$43 +$53
$53 (+2%) +$16 +$34 +$49 +$53
$55 (+6%) ← target +$36 +$46 +$52 +$53
$57 (+10%) +$46 +$51 +$53 +$53
$60 (+15%) +$51 +$53 +$53 +$53
$62 (+20%) +$52 +$53 +$53 +$53
Uses FAST's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.