Target Price Playground
FAST
$51.91
🟢
FAST IV: 25.3% — LOW
(-42.3% vs 30d avg of 43.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $58 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $52 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $2.14 · Δ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If FAST hits $58 by Dec 18: the long call returns +$386 (180.3%) on $214 risked, vs +$609 (11.7%) for 100 shares on $5,191. Options give 15.4× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FAST is at $58. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if FAST hits $58 by Dec 18
+$386
+180.3% on $214 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
−$214
Premium paid
Break-even
$54.14
+4.3% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
23%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
53.65 / -2.43 / 7.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| FAST Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $42 (-20%) | -$212 | -$214 | -$214 | -$214 |
| $44 (-15%) | -$203 | -$211 | -$214 | -$214 |
| $47 (-10%) | -$176 | -$195 | -$211 | -$214 |
| $49 (-5%) | -$113 | -$147 | -$185 | -$214 |
| $51 (-2%) | -$51 | -$92 | -$142 | -$214 |
| $52 (0%) ← spot | +$0 | -$42 | -$96 | -$214 |
| $53 (+2%) | +$60 | +$18 | -$35 | -$119 |
| $55 (+5%) | +$165 | +$125 | +$80 | +$37 |
| $57 (+10%) | +$370 | +$340 | +$312 | +$296 |
| $58 (+12%) ← target | +$449 | +$422 | +$399 | +$386 |
| $60 (+15%) | +$604 | +$583 | +$567 | +$556 |
| $62 (+20%) | +$852 | +$837 | +$825 | +$815 |
Uses FAST's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.