Target Price Playground
FAST
$51.91
🟢
FAST IV: 25.3% — LOW
(-42.3% vs 30d avg of 43.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $46 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG PUT · $52 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $1.92 · Δ -0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If FAST hits $46 by Dec 18: the long put returns +$408 (211.9%) on $192 risked, vs $-591 (-11.4%) for 100 shares on $5,191. Options give 18.6× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if FAST is at $46. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if FAST hits $46 by Dec 18
+$408
+211.9% on $192 risked
Max Profit
+$5,008
If stock → $0
Max Loss
−$192
Premium paid
Break-even
$50.08
-3.53% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
25%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
-46.35 / -1.79 / 7.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| FAST Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $42 (-20%) | +$826 | +$835 | +$845 | +$855 |
| $44 (-15%) | +$576 | +$579 | +$586 | +$596 |
| $46 (-11%) ← target | +$405 | +$400 | +$399 | +$408 |
| $47 (-10%) | +$343 | +$334 | +$329 | +$336 |
| $49 (-5%) | +$147 | +$123 | +$96 | +$77 |
| $51 (-2%) | +$53 | +$23 | -$17 | -$79 |
| $52 (0%) ← spot | +$0 | -$32 | -$75 | -$183 |
| $53 (+2%) | -$44 | -$76 | -$119 | -$192 |
| $55 (+5%) | -$95 | -$124 | -$160 | -$192 |
| $57 (+10%) | -$149 | -$168 | -$186 | -$192 |
| $60 (+15%) | -$175 | -$185 | -$191 | -$192 |
| $62 (+20%) | -$186 | -$190 | -$192 | -$192 |
Uses FAST's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.